Posted by: Dr Churchill | April 11, 2014

European Security vs the greedy Gas station formerly called Russia

President Vladimir Putin has sternly warned the European Leaders to not mess with his backyard Ukraine and to stop meddling in what he views as his very own sphere of influence.

These delusions of Grandeur that the petite dictator is voicing are a pre-amble to war… as always such vexing Napoleonic pronouncements have been.

The little man whose churlish behaviour nobody takes seriously anymore, is threatening to cut-off Russian gas supplies to Europe. He is claiming that European gas delivery will be disrupted when Moscow cuts-off the flow of gas to Ukraine over unpaid bills.

But not taking seriously the small man with the big oversized ego, and the tender nipples, might lead us to a terrible nosebleed. mainly because it appears that Putin is now not only the richest man in the world but the most bloodthirsty one too.

Pocket sized dictators with oversized egos have launched Europe into the Dark Ages before; so this time we cannot underestimate the seriousness of this strategic Russian initiative because it’s a well thought out strategy and a flawed, yet well-executed plan. When you want to understand he subtext of this messy geopolitical Ukrainian pastiche — you can read this explanation: The king of illegality, the gay man who annexed illegally the whole of Crimea, Mr Nipples, is now threatening a complete gas shut-off to Europe, seemingly over the Ukrainian unpaid bills. The fallacy that this threat poses, cannot be lost to other humourists around the world, because the gas station attendant gayboy, threatens and bullies his traditional friends [Ukrainians], so they can keep on playing with him. He wants them to keep him in the team even though He is a terrible bully. He want to be in their company and threatens them if they don’t take him out for a bit of slap and tickle — come Saturday night. That’s all. A girlish gay temper tantrum that can throw Europe into another bloody war, is what this whole Ukrainian episode is all about.

Fighting over unpaid gas bills of unilaterally and illegally increased gas prices, is what Putin is all about. The gas price hikes that Putin created fictitious by doubling the price of gas to Ukraine retroactively, are now the “Causus-Beli” Russia uses to go to war…

Oh dear … how we long for the alcoholic bear of yesterday.

Yeltshin’s tea wallah Mr Putin, is what we are faced with today and that is what he have to confront, because we all know that cry-baby Putin wants control over Ukraine and it’s foreign policy by making Ukraine a part of, or a puppet state to Kremlin. That much is clear. What is not clear is that generalissimo Putin’s naked aggression over Crimea is just a prelude to further dismemberment of the country, starting with Donetsk and Luhansk and the Eastern half of the poor country.

Now the mini-dictator is using the artificially jacked up prices of Gas “sold” to Ukraine as leverage to get the Ukrainian people to capitulate and adhere to his demands over unpaid bills, drawing a US accusation that it is using energy “as a tool of coercion”.

In a letter to the leaders of 18 European countries, Putin made clear that “his patience would run out” over Kiev’s $2.2 billion gas debt to Russia unless a solution could be brokered urgently.

Russia has nearly doubled the gas price it charges Ukraine, whose economy is in crisis, since pro-Moscow President Viktor Yanukovich was overthrown two months ago. Russia then annexed the Ukrainian region of Crimea, provoking the biggest confrontation with the West since the Cold War.

Putin said Russian fossil fuel exporter Gazprom would demand advance payment for gas supplies to Ukraine and “in the event of further violation of the conditions of payment will completely or partially cease gas deliveries”.

That could have knock-on effects for European Union countries, much of whose Russian gas flows in pipelines across Ukraine. “We fully realise that this increases the risk of (Ukraine) siphoning off natural gas passing through Ukraine’s territory and heading to European consumers,” the letter said.

Russia supplies 30 percent of Europe’s natural gas demand and more than half of this gas goes through pipelines crossing Ukraine.

The United States accused Moscow of using its vast energy reserves to pressure the former Soviet republic. “We condemn Russia’s efforts to use energy as a tool of coercion against Ukraine,” State Department spokeswoman Jen Psaki said.

State-controlled Gazprom stopped pumping gas to Ukraine during price disputes in the winters of 2005-2006 and 2008-2009, leading to reduced supplies in European countries.

Russian officials say gas dealings with Ukraine are purely commercial and they were forced to move after Kiev failed to meet a newly imposed price hike deadline this Monday; to pay for its March supplies.

In Ukraine, pro-Russian separatists occupying old KGB official buildings and old Soviet bases in the eastern cities of Donetsk and Luhansk; rejected a government offer of an amnesty in exchange for laying down their weapons.

That raised fears that the authorities could follow through on a threat to use force to clear the buildings which have been occupied since the previous weekend.

Kremlin’s special spetsnaz units acting as agent-provocateurs and masquerading as patriotic protesters — have taken over the old KGB buildings and the old Soviet bases, in Eastern Ukraine.

However we all know that the so called protesters are the same “green-men of Crimea”. They are the same well armed military Special Forces men, “Spetsnaz” who are well armed, dressed in green, loaded with cash and cashes of Kalashnikovs, fitted out with night vision scopes and grenade launchers, and who are deployed in the former KGB headquarters in Luhansk and Donetsk. They have also taken over old Soviet bases of Eastern Ukraine and have said they would lay down their weapons only if Kiev agreed to hold a referendum on the future of the largely Russian-speaking region. Sounds like a red herring to me — but I may be mistaken…

We have seen this movie played out once again — in Crimea. We saw the play unfold when Crimea “voted” last month for union with Russia in a referendum held under occupation. A vote that took place after Moscow’s forces had already taken control of the Black Sea peninsula of Crimea… And of course in a country under occupation, the occupier declares any electoral results they want to see. Look at Russian elections. It’s not an innovation when seen in the light of History as it was the case when the German Nazis occupied Ukraine and so many others during the Second World War.

Of course the proper government of Ukraine in Kiev has rejected holding a similar vote in the eastern part of the country, rightfully calling this naked aggression and openly saying that the “Special Forces military occupations” are part of a Russian-led plan to dismember the country.

“We are trying to find a compromise, but the demands put forward by the occupiers are unacceptable. Our aim is to avoid the use of force, but that option remains in place,” Deputy Interior Minister Serhiy Yarovy told journalists.

Prime Minister Arseny Yatseniuk is to travel to Donetsk on Friday to discuss the crisis.

NATO raised Moscow’s ire by publishing satellite pictures it said showed a Russian military buildup on the Ukrainian border. Moscow’s elastic truth telling Foreign Minister Mr lavrov fumbled further, when he said that the satellite images had been taken last year.

The Russian Foreign Ministry said in a carefully worded statement: “The alliance is trying to use the crisis in Ukraine to rally its ranks in the face of an imaginary external threat to NATO members and to strengthen demand for the alliance”.

In response, the NATO Secretary-General Anders Fogh Rasmussen, visiting Prague, said the threat was real. “Russia is stirring up ethnic tensions in eastern Ukraine and provoking unrest, in order to dismember the country. Russia is using its military might to dictate that Ukraine should become a federal, neutral state. That is a decision which only Ukraine as a sovereign state can make” Rasmussen told the Prague news conference.

In further escalation news, the US Pentagon representatives confirmed that the destroyer USS Donald Cook arrived in the Black Sea on Thursday for exercises with ships from Romania, Bulgaria and Turkey. This ship is to later join the US nuclear Aircraft fleet that is already patrolling the region of the Black Sea.

US Treasury Secretary Jack Lew told his Russian counterpart on Thursday that the United States stood ready to impose additional sanctions on Russia if it continued to step up tensions, according to a Treasury representative.

“Lew stated that the United States continues to believe that there is an opportunity to resolve the crisis through diplomacy,” the US representative said, adding the secretary encouraged Russia to participate further in an international effort to restore Ukraine’s economic health, “especially as it relates to the free flow of energy and trade”.


PS: President Barack Obama discussed the Ukraine situation in a telephone call on Thursday with German Chancellor Angela Merkel, but the Methodist priest’s daughter was depressed over the current developments and unable to contribute… any sort of European leadership.

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