Posted by: Dr Churchill | December 6, 2019

Will the forced famine of the children in Yemen, along with the assassination of Washington Post journalist Kassoghi, and the many others, amid the constant bombing of civilians — be the end of Saudi Arabia’s ruling class?

Five million children are starving in Yemen, and upwards of 60,000 of them are dying off each and every month… while the Saudis are living it up, getting crazy Riyadh entertainment, and enjoying their meaty diet on the back of the dead children of Yemen.

What a travesty of Justice…

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But as I wonder about this and as I reflect on the subject of the future in that sorry place of this earth… I come to some rather uncomfortable conclusions, always starting with the Socratic dialogue questions that lead us to the truth.

A big question is this one:

Will this inhumanity, the thuggery of the regime, the constant assassinatinons of opponents, journalists, domestic bloggers and all opponents, like the assassination of the journalist Jamal Khashoggi, the indiscriminate bombing of civilians and the starving of the children of Yemen, innocent bystanders in the Saudi Yemenese War — be the final end of Saudi Arabia as we know it and not just the end of it’s uber-corrupt regime?

Methinks, Yes, because as I write these lines today, when Saudi Arabia & Yemen are engaged in a deadly struggle to the end and nothing the US or even Iran can do to stop that death embrace… another stupid jihadist Saudi terrorist assassinated US military personnel inside Pensacola’s Air Force training facility where he was being trained as a pilot…

And I wonder here outlaid — when is the lesson going to be learned that you cannot allow, invite and welcome in our military facilities these jihadist Islamofascist Saudi terrotists, because since infancy their hateful form of the Islamic faith, Wahabbism, teaches them and indoctrinates them to become suicide bombers and to kill themselves alongside infidels in order to gain the Paradise where they will have a romantic rice pilaf dinners with a 72 year old virgin.

So why do we expect to train these schizophrenic people inside our military facilities thus exposing our soldiers to death and many other harms for simply wanting to help train these hateful morons, who only know how to kill babies through attrition, imposed famines, and military strategy of starvation and blitzkrieg bombing campaigns against civilians?

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The recent stupid plan that ended in the now infamous debacle of Aramco’s IPO is another clue of how clueless the current Crown Prince MBS and his criminally corrupt posse can be. Because this yougnthug, the Crown Prince MbS, while ruling on behalf of his father King Salman who is obviously incapacitated and unable to force his Asperger’s syndrome suffering son, to become a halfway decent human being before he could aspire to become a halfway decent leader…

So as it appears from the dearth of leadership — it is the prince who is responsible not only for the wholesale murders of children in Yemen, but also for the attack on Saudi Arabia’s major oil processing station in Abqaiq in the Eastern province of Saudi Arabia, at the end of this past September, which marked a major turning point in the war, as well as in the way academics and policy practitioners, politicians and military and security leaders view the regional MENA conflicts, and also the major conflicts of influence in the global socio-economic political arena, and in the conferences of all the developed world’s Leaders, (G7, G20, and UN) along with a major disruption in the ministries of Oil, Gas & Energy, along with the various departments of State, the Whitehalls, the Kremlins, and the Pentagons worldwide.

And this of course, is because this turning of the war, is an even bigger story, than any of us realizes… because since the errant prince and his cohorts of criminal minds chose to hit civilians with airstrikes in Yemen — any results of that stupidity, are his fault. Simple blowback, and the inevitable chicken coming home to roost, and the personal defamation, same as the global lowering of the position of his regime to the status of North Korea, because of his unashamed ordering the cruel, premeditated and massively stupid act of assassination after ordering the bloody murder and dismemberment of the Washington post journalist Kassoghi inside the Saudi Arabian consulate in Instabul.

And why?

Because the little stupid & spoiled prince wanted to have the fingers of the assassinated journalist brought back to him as a sick trophy thinking that this will scare or deter other journalists from speaking out about his evil Saddam Husein style regime.

He is responsible and he should hang for his many crimes, because this is not the first nor the last murder the little thuggish MbS prince has committed and he is not likely to stop until he gets stopped.

After all, our own CIA has concluded beyond any doubt, that the Saudi crown prince MBS ordered Jamal Khashoggi’s assassination, personally and directly:

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https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/cia-concludes-saudi-crown-prince-ordered-jamal-khashoggis-assassination/2018/11/16/98c89fe6-e9b2-11e8-a939-9469f1166f9d_story.html    “The CIA has concluded that Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman ordered the assassination of journalist Jamal Khashoggi in Istanbul last month, contradicting the Saudi government’s claims that he was not involved in the killing, according to people familiar with the matter.”  Read in Arabic: وكالة الاستخبارات المركزية تستنتج أنّ ولي العهد السعودي أمر باغتيال جمال خاشقجي  “The CIA’s assessment, in which officials have said they have high confidence, is the most definitive to date linking Mohammed to the operation and complicates the Trump administration’s efforts to preserve its relationship with a close ally. A team of 15 Saudi agents flew to Istanbul on government aircraft in October and killed Khashoggi inside the Saudi Consulate, where he had gone to pick up documents that he needed for his planned marriage to a Turkish woman.”

As for the September strike of drones deep inside Saudi Arabia’s ARAMCO oil processing facilities — the most heavily protected oil refinery in the world — proves that the MBS regime s a joke, and while some errant forces within the U.S. political circles, as well as within Israel and of course, Saudi Arabia, keep trying to shift the blame to Iran, the truth of the matter is that the Houthis of North Yemen were responsible for the attack, as a follow up to last month’s hit which showed off the capabilities of their new drones and target acquisition acumen.

That attack set the stage for the latest one in a classic case of the past being prologue. By showing the world it was capable of throwing bombing drones anywhere within Saudi Arabia — the Houthi insurgents of Yemen have created the probability as well as the plausibility for last September’s weekend attack that has put the ARAMCO refinery out of business for the foreseeable future.

Chicken coming home to roost are the drones that are lobbed against Saudi targets deep inside the desert in fair payment for the starvation of the Yemenese chidden that is the stated goal of MbS and his cronies, in complete contravention of any laws of decency in war and of the most important articles of the Geneva convention that rules all acts of war, all military leadership deportment, as well as officer conduct and responsible leaders and executive officers at all levels of government…

And not despot or petty tyrant is above that Court’s orders as the NAZIs, the Serbian criminal mastermind Milosevic, Sudan’s butcher, and many others have found out in recent years.

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Indeed the International Criminal Tribunal in Haque has been assessing the criminality of the Saudi side in the Yemenese conflict and preparing indictments against the most serious criminals and it is these indictments that the MbS and his circle will find difficult to escape…

And as I have stated here previously — this drone attack against the refineries, begs a lot of questions from those in charge on both the Saudi side and on the US side and apparently, the ham-fisted push to blame Iran for it, after President Trump all but ruled out a military response from the US from all corners of the corrupt deep state of the US and Saudi establishment; opens up even more questions of corruption, insider dealings and mafia style governing by MBS and his criminal cohort.

Because if this was a swarm drone attack from Iraq or from Iran, as claimed now, and as supported by factless conjecture — then how did all the vaunted US technology of deployed defense against drone attacks, patriot missile batteries, Aegis missiles, and even latest generation anti-drone squads of antiaircraft fire barrages and all, fail to account for it and most critically completely failed to stop the attack?

Please keep in mind that the U.S. Naval CENTCOM is in Bahrain, and methinks that these well trained US military personnel cannot be blind as well as incompetent…

No. I don’t think they are.

Say what you wish about the general US political leadership, and the nigh-treasonous bureaucracy supporting it — yet I don’t think our military is fundamentally corrupt, and it is not lazy, or stupid like the Saudis are…

After all, what is it that we are spending all of our money on, after all?

Yet, by continuing to spin this successful Houthi attack against the heart of the Saudi leadership, as Iranian in origin — people like Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and the Saudi Arabian government are throwing the Pentagon under the bus and there is no economic benefit to doing this whatsoever, except a misguided world view of attributing to our major enemies the faults and the misdeeds of our errant friends.

Because if you follow that generally faulty logic — you could easily see this attack as a red herring that was done by Saudi Arabia in order to cause sympathy for its criminal behavior in Yemen and elsewhere…

And methinks that the current Saudi crop of bumbling idiots are not that smart to be able to come up with such a ploy.

The truth is that the Houthis had to respond to the Saudi terror that has stopped all food from coming into the Yemen in order to starve the population into submission. But that is not going to be an effective tool of war, not only because it is illegal to target the innocent population of non-combatants and especially infants and children for collective punishment, as clearly spelled out at the Geneva Accords, but also these inhuman acts necessitate a Nuremberg style of military tribunals when the war finally ends and the International Court of Justice will have to try MbS and his cohort, with obvious results.

That the Houthis are winning this war, is another improbable effect of the arrogance of MbS and the Saudi circle of leadership, and the end result of trying to re-frame this military victory, as an attack by Iraqi Shi’ite militias, the Popular Mobilization Units (PMU), in conjunction with the IRGC, who are are trying to further separate them from the Iraqi government who still openly supports them and thus deflects against Saudi Arabia’s inherent weakness and incompetence.

And as it turns out, the PMUs have already been our political enemy and a target of our skewed policy in Iraq for months now, as if we are Saudi-stupid and are looking to restart the chaos in Iraq, which clearly will result in another Iranian victory soonest…

And that is the absolutely wrong signal to send to the world out there, because both Iraq and Syria continue to try and re-open the Al-Bukumai border crossing near Deir Ezzor. In response to the drone attack on Saudi Arabia there were two sets of airstrikes there on the 17th and the 18th. Saudi Arabia denies being involved and blamed Israel for the strikes.

So what are we doing?

The Shia Muslim Crescent is forming up strong, and the PMUs are an important part of this Iranian policy objective, wherein Iran is investing billions in new road and rail links from Tehran to Beirut and to all points Shia in the MENA region…

So, the existential threat to Saudi Arabia, from Shia aligned groups within and without the kingdom is rather real.

Of that I have no doubt.

But, notice what’s happening. Everyone’s pointing fingers at each other within the U.S. and Saudi alliance right now…

Meanwhile Iran very calmly keeps denying the attack.

I fully expect proof from them in the near future if the U.S. shows “proof” of Iran’s involvement.

Think back to the drone incident in June which nearly landed us in a war with Iran. The story morphed and changed with each day. The Iranians had the data, the proof, on their side and they let morons like Pompeo say provably false things before releasing it.

“Drip Drip Drip” is the strategy, as Andrew Breitbart used to call it. Drip out some information and allow your target to lie about it. Then drip out the next bit exposing that lie. And so on, and so on.

That’s what Iran did in June, humiliating Trump at every turn. And I’m sure if they weren’t behind this attack they will do the same thing in the coming days.

And I also think the U.S knows this as well. And that’s why nothing much more will come of it. It will be used diplomatically to tie Trump’s hands and front a lie to conceal more important truths.

The Saudi Arabians cannot defend their home, mainly because all Saudi air defense coverage is rather poor and because of all the ill-trained Saudi pilots who are eerily afraid to even fly at night because of the fear of Jihns and ghosts coming out at night…

And although the US naval positioning is not prepared for a step up in violence, and the US Carrier Groups are not in the Persian Gulf, the Iranians believe they can hit targets up to 2000 kilometers away.

How true that is versus U.S. air defense systems is questionable.

The Saudis have lost nearly all of their external support. The coalition against Yemen has collapsed.

The Houthis are winning.

Qatar hates them.

Egypt wouldn’t join Trump’s Arab NATO.

OPEC+ is floundering and Russia sets the tone.

And this brings me to the stark possibility that the Houthis are right now in a position to launch an all-out attack from Yemen against Saudi Arabia and destabilize the country.

Meanwhile the ruling prince MBS is organizing “Bread & Circuses” parties for his upset citizens in his capital Riyadh, so that the can stave off the looming rebellion of the Saudis who still like the rule of law and not the rule of thuggery, and who will want to see him hanged for his many crimes.

So internally the Saudi Arabian regime is toast.

Externally the same is true for the Saudi chances of regional control and stability, because the situation has now reached a point where there’s plenty of chatter across the Persian Gulf about a spectacular scenario, where the Houthis are investing in a mad dash across the Arabian desert to capture Mecca and Medina in conjunction with a mass Shiite uprising in the Eastern oil belt.

That’s not far-fetched anymore. Stranger things have happened in the Middle East. After all, the Saudis can’t even win a bar brawl – that’s why they rely on thugs, paid assassins, domestic murderers, and wholy disinterested mercenaries.

An uprising in the east has always been on the table. It’s why the Saudis need $80+ per barrel oil. They have to pay for social programs that keep the population relatively happy.

From every side now, the Saudi Kingdom is under existential threat. So, I’m not surprised they are trying to push the blame for this failure to protect their oil processing facilities and the destabilizing attacks on them, onto Iran.

The quick announcement by newly-minted Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman that Aramco’s production will be back to normal quickly was done to reassure potential investors in the upcoming yet now shelved, Aramco IPO, a $400 billion affair. Yet, because this is the lynchpin to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s (MbS) Vision 2030 plan for modernizing the kingdom’s economy — its failure is a personal body blow to the thuggish prince and it portends his replacement soonest with another of the King Salman’s children or remaining brothers.

That fits with the desire to deflect the source of the attack away from their war in Yemen. Because, as bad as the optics are for the U.S. military, they are far worse for the Saudis if the Houthis are truly the culprits and are so sophisticated and capable to attack anything and anyone they desire within Saudi territory.

Nobody is safe anymore. Not the palace dwellers, and not the army barracks or the DQ in Riyadh. Everyone is a target and must prepare for the inevitable drone blitz bombing campaign.

But the Saudi leadership under MBS and the rest of the Saudi leaders are all sleeping the sleep of the stupid and criminally minded, because at a minimum this is what reshuffling the chairs at the deck of the Titanic looks like. Acts such as changing of the energy minister is a signal to that effect, and although a shift in Saudi policy is always imminent and forthcoming — it goes without saying that making terms and suing for peace with the winning Houthis may be the only option to save MbS and his throne.

But I am afraid that he simply has not got the time he thinks he has, and he will not act due to his overzealous protection of his non-existent prestige…

And because there is no appetite for all out war with Iran in the United States — it turns out that the Saudis are no longer the ‘good Arabs’ to most political class Americans, as well as to most simple Americans especially after all the memories of 9/11 being rekindled with every fresh Saudi Arabian Islamofascist terrorist jihadist attack within the United States soil, such as the one in Pensacola Florida yesterday and the many others that occasionally happen because of the schizophrenic Saudi Arabian youth that studies in our country as a courtesy to the Wahabbism medressa, where Islamic training of their very effed-up country takes place and screws up all Saudi kids for ever.

Today Saudi Military trainee pilot and secret jihadist is the Islamofascist terrorist was gunned down after was found to be responsible for the deadly shooting of five Air Force persons inside the Pensacola Naval Air Station, according to the Pentagon: https://www.cnn.com/2019/12/06/us/pensacola-naval-station-lockdown/index.html

Four people are dead, including the suspected gunman, after a man authorities identified as a Saudi aviation student open fired in a classroom at the Naval Air Station Pensacola on Friday morning. Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) confirmed the suspect was a member of the Saudi military at a news conference Friday afternoon outside the military base. “There’s obviously going to be a lot of questions about this individual being a foreign national, being a part of the Saudi Air Force and then to be here training on our soil and to do this,” he said.

DeSantis said he spoke with President Trump about the shooting and emphasized that Riyadh would eventually need to respond.

“Obviously, the government of Saudi Arabia needs to make things better for these victims. I think they’re going to owe a debt here given that this was one of their individuals,” he said.

Trump talked to Saudi king: Later Friday afternoon, Trump said he had spoken with Saudi Arabia’s King Salman about the shooting.

“The King said that the Saudi people are greatly angered by the barbaric actions of the shooter, and that this person in no way shape or form represents the feelings of the Saudi people who love the American people,” Trump tweeted.

The Saudi leader expressed his condolences to the families of those killed in the shooting, Trump said.

“It’s a horrible thing that took place, and we’re getting to the bottom of it,” Trump said of the shooting during an event focused on deregulation.

The president would not say whether he believed the incident was an act of terrorism.

International training: The base’s commanding officer, Capt. Timothy Kinsella Jr., said the suspect was training in aviation, though he would not elaborate.

Indeed this shite happens inside America, where the military doesn’t want to put the soldiers at risk neither home nor abroad, and yet we have these constant terror attacks. But in the greater sense it is the Wall Street banker-wanker mentality that is afraid of a protracted war in the Middle East and therefore doesn’t want to see Saudi regime sidelined and oil production nose-diving, and thus precipitating a financial collapse that would make the Lehman Bros’ failure and the economic debacle of 2008, look like a fvckin walk in the park by comparison to what can ha[[en with the next oil crisis.

Additionally, the American military industrial complex, doesn’t want to expose their toys to the potential for them failing to dominate in the field of the desert sand-rat dwellers, and thus we are best staying home.

Because any type of war with Iran, will not be conventional. It will be asymmetric and terrorist as well… and we are not prepared for that as of now.

It will come from all sides, all across the Shia Crescent, but especially Yemen. Of this the Iranians have been very clear, regardless of the outcome. They believe their missile technology is superior to U.S. air defense systems.

They may be correct and the last thing the U.S. wants is an actual shooting war where the outcome isn’t a foregone conclusion.

The U.S. military is better served as a bogeyman, politically, rather than an actual physical threat, or as a policeman for the well fed, and criminally spoiled Saudi brats.

Yours,

Dr Churchill

PS:

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Having recently returned from a most far reaching Saudi Arabian fact-finding mission — I must say the Truth: This regimes tyrannical days of rule is coming to an end soonest.

This regime is unsustainable. The horrors they perpetuate are far too real. Their culpability is far too great and they all need to go starting with MbS and his criminal posse. These people are mass murderers and there is no place in the honorable soul of the Bedouin people for such lot as this…

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So, MbS better come to the sane conclusion that a settlement with Yemen to restore the Peace is the only sane conclusion as it also holds the only key to his near-term survival.

Because in a quick strike by the Houthis which creates an uprising across the country there’s precious little the U.S. can or will do to oppose his inevitable hanging from the gallows along with the rest of the ruling family and coterie of princes…

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And while an all-out war would certainly bring the price of oil up at about $150+ per barrel of crude, which the Saudis need in order to balance their budget, they most likely wouldn’t be the ones selling into that market, and the only beneficiary will be the Iranians and their worldwide influence, along with the Russian and all the other resource dependent economies.

Tough break for the US then — wouldn’t you say?

Methinks so.


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