Posted by: Dr Pano Churchill | July 27, 2016

Why Politics Matter.

An alarm has been sounded…

It comes from the most unlikely of quarters.

It comes from the National Aeronautics & Space Administration.

It comes from some of the best scientists of America — the venerable and thoughtful observers of all celestial things, the science heavies of NASA.

This new NASA study reveals that dozens of ancient advanced civilizations much like ours, once existed on Earth, but they all came to an abrupt end…

This study done by NASA, suggests that humanity as we know it could come to an abrupt end in the next few decades, based on the unsustainable living patterns observed with these previous civilisations that came to a sudden or not so sudden collapse and disappearance into the sands of history. These once mighty civilizations came to an abrupt and definite halt and slid surely into oblivion eventual forgetfulness, and in many instances even erasure from the pages of history like the mighty Greeks, the Persians, or the Han, the Khmer, and the Mauryan civilizations and their mighty achievements in science and progress.

And then the world slid back to the Stone Age or simply faltered and were succeeded by the Dark Ages, foisted upon the people by daft religions and stupid ideologies – that killed every logical advancement and scientific progress.

And if we look back in history, 3000 – 5000 years, we will find a historical record that clearly shows us how advanced and complex civilizations were just as susceptible to collapse as we are today. This ongoing pattern has led researchers to question the future existence of society and civilization as we know.

If we were to look back further back in time, over 10,000 years, we would encounter evidence of tens of not hundreds of advanced civilizations that possibly predate the Pre-Inca, the Incas, the Olmecs, and the Ancient Egyptian civilization, not to mention other advanced ancient civilizations in ancient Mesopotamia, in India and Asia or Meso-America, by thousands of years.

In studying all their remnants and the time line of their birth to collapse — it becomes rather difficult to overlook the repeating patterns as identified by the scholars in most of these civilizations and this NASA funded study that bears clear evidence of the path and the trajectory that all ancient civilizations on Earth have taken from inception to death for many thousands of years — since the beginning of Man’s journey on our planet.

Today this evidence is considered by many people as a sure sign that clearly shows that even these really ancient civilizations have been reset a number of times, before their eventual collapse and destruction.

These factors have kept on repeating themselves many times, and have been the culprit for the disappearance of all the great ancient civilizations before us. In the NASA study report, the “Applied Mathematician” Safa Motesharri and his “Human and Nature Dynamical” model claims that “the process of rise-and-collapse is actually a recurrent cycle seen as repeating over and over again throughout history.”

“The fall of the Roman Empire, and the equally, if not more advanced, Han, Mauryan, and Gupta Empires, as well as so many advanced Mesopotamian Empires, American, and Asiatic ones — are all testimony to the fact that advanced, sophisticated, complex, and creative civilizations can be both fragile and impermanent.”

The NASA study came to the conclusion that there are two key social features that contributed to the collapse of every single advanced civilization from the past: “the stretching of resources due to the strain placed on the ecological carrying capacity”; and “the economic stratification of society into Elites [rich] and Masses (or “Commoners”) [poor]” These social phenomena have played “a central role in the character or in the process of the collapse,” in all such cases over “the last five to fifteen thousand years.”

Even though our civilizations is at a very advanced technological stage, this does not necessarily mean that we are saved from imminent chaos. In the study we find that “Technological change can raise the efficiency of resource use, but it also tends to raise both per capita resource consumption and the scale of resource extraction, so that, absent policy effects, the increases in consumption often compensate for the increased efficiency of resource use.”

One of the best examples of advanced ancient civilizations disappearing can be found in Mesoamerica: Thus if we take a look at the ancient Maya people, who were an extremely advanced ancient civilization, we find that several factors played a crucial role for this once great empire to crumble eventually. While most researchers would agree that Deforestation, Famine and Drought where some of the key components in the failure of the ancient Maya, we find a similar pattern in other civilizations, not only in the Americas, but all around the globe.

It is here that the applied mathematician Safa Motesharrei and his colleagues on the NASA study “Human and Nature Dynamical” they run the models that conclusively show, that under conditions “closely reflecting the reality of the world today… we find that collapse is difficult to avoid” if not inevitable and unavoidable.

Those are the facts folks. Now we can live with them and die with them, or we can choose to alter our situation…

And the study has scenarios…

Three top scenarios tell the most dramatic story:

  1. In the first of these scenarios: “Civilization, appears to be on a sustainable path for quite a long time, but even using an optimal depletion rate and starting with a very small number of Elites, the Elites eventually consume too much, resulting in a famine among Commoners that eventually causes the collapse of society. It is important to note that this Type-L collapse is due to an inequality-induced famine that causes a loss of workers, rather than a collapse of Nature.”

Lots of other scary shit scenarios follow but the takeaway is that our Politics of today matter greatly… for the eventual outcome.

Perhaps far more than what we thought they would.

This “threat of collapse” comes from unwarranted places but nonetheless it is as real as History.

So let’s take a trip forward from today to the end of year 2016, when by estimation and current trend projections — 352 murders would have been committed in New York City in total, and the New President of the United States is a New Yorker named Donald Trump.

This is good news and bad news. Surely The Donald is a boon for New York, but the murder rate is also a bit higher than the number of violent deaths in 2015, or 2014, or 2013 — but still far below the 2,245 murders that took place in 1990, that was the city’s worst year yet. In fact, as measured by the murder rate, New York is now basically as safe as it has ever been, going all the way back to the 19th century.

Now Donald will not square his talk with these statistics and yet the national crime statistics, and numbers for all violent crimes, paint a slightly less cheerful picture. And it’s not just a matter of numbers; our big cities look and feel far safer than they did a generation ago, because they are. People of a certain age always have the sense that America isn’t the country they remember from their youth, and in this case they’re right — it has gotten much better.

How, then, was it even possible for Donald Trump to give a speech accepting the Republican nomination whose central premise was that crime is running rampant, and that “Trump alone” can bring the chaos under control?

Of course, nobody should be surprised to see Mr. Trump confidently asserting things that are flatly untrue, since he does that all the time — and never corrects his falsehoods. Indeed, the big speech repeated some of those golden oldies, like the claim that America is the world’s most highly taxed country — when we are actually near the bottom among advanced economies.

But until now the false claims have been about things ordinary voters can’t check against their own experience. Most people don’t have any sense of how their taxes compare with those paid by Europeans or Canadians, let alone how many jobs have been displaced by Chinese competition.

Yet 58 million tourists visited New York last year, and most of those weren’t fleeced by bandits. And still tens of millions more tourists — many of them Chinese, visited other major cities safely. Of course we all know that because many of us live in or near those big cities, and see them every day. And most all of us can now feel safe visiting Times Square in New york City and come back unmolested and happy after spending our money buying chinese made chotchkes and taking selfies with the topless girls prostituting themselves openly.

Still if you go uptown far enough you’ll find plenty of crime and in the contiguous ghettos but for a while there are mostly safe districts in New york where hardly any existed a few decades ago. And as there always were, bad neighborhoods and occasional violent incidents, it’s hard to see how anyone who walks around Times Square taking photos with an expensive I-phone and looking at the boobs on display with open eyes, could believe today in the blood-soaked dystopian vision malarkey that The Donald had laid out, to propel himself to the White House.

Yet at this point in history — there’s no question that most voters — including, a majority of white men and women, indeed buy into that dystopian vision.

Why?

One answer according to Gallup, is that Americans always seem to believe that crime is increasing, even when it is in fact dropping rapidly.

Part of this may be the wording of the question: People may have a vague, headline-fueled sense that crime is up this year even while being aware that it’s much lower than it used to be.

There may also be some version of the “bad things are happening somewhere else” syndrome we see in consumer surveys, where people are far more positive about their personal situation than they are about the economy as a whole.

Again, however, it’s one thing to have a shaky grasp on crime statistics, but something quite different to accept a nightmare vision of America that conflicts so drastically with everyday experience. So what’s going on?

Well, I do have a hypothesis, namely, that Trump supporters really do feel, with some reason, that the social order they knew is coming apart. It’s not just race, where the country has become both more diverse and less racist (even if it still has a long way to go). It’s also about gender roles — when Mr. Trump talks about making America great again, you can be sure that many of his supporters are imagining a return to the partly imagined days of male breadwinners and stay-at-home wives.

Not incidentally, Mike Pence, Mr. Trump’s running mate, used to fulminate about the damage done by working mothers, not to mention penning an outraged attack on Disney in 1999 for featuring a martially-minded heroine in its movie Mulan.

But what are the consequences of these changes in the social order? Back when crime was rising, conservatives insistently drew a connection to social change — that was what the whole early ’90s fuss over “family values” was about. Loose the bonds of traditional society, and chaos would follow.

Then a funny thing happened: Crime plunged instead of continuing to rise. Other indicators also improved dramatically — for example, the teen birthrate has fallen 60 percent since 1991. Instead of societal collapse, we’ve seen what amounts to a mass outbreak of societal health. The truth is that we don’t know exactly why. Hypotheses range from the changing age distribution of the population to reduced lead poisoning; but in any case, the predicted apocalypse notably failed to arrive.

The point, however, is that in the minds of those disturbed by social change, chaos in the streets was supposed to follow, and they are all too willing to believe that it did, in the teeth of the evidence.

The question now is how many such people, people determined to live in a nightmare of their own imagining, there really are. I guess we’ll find out in November.Imagine that it’s the year 2020 — just four short years from now.

To answer that question — let’s take a look a few years ahead on a field trip to the Future:

Say it’s the year 2020 and the campaign is under way to succeed President Trump, who is retiring early, after a single wretched term…

Trump did what he could, but that dog couldn’t hunt…

And as a President he was ineffective as hell, mainly because He couldn’t muster a coalition to work things out…

Thus things have been going from bad to worse for the duration of his term in the oval office.

Voters are angrier than ever — at politicians, at compromisers, at the establishment. Congress and the White House seem incapable of working together on anything, even when their interests align.

With lawmaking at a standstill, the president’s use of executive orders and regulatory discretion has reached a level that Congress views as dictatorial — not that Congress can do anything about it, except file lawsuits that the divided Supreme Court, its three vacancies unfilled, has been unable to resolve.

On Capitol Hill, Speaker Paul Ryan resigned after proving unable to pass a budget, or do much of anything else. The guy just gave up and gaveled himself out of circulation and went to live permanently in the gym. House burned through two more speakers and one “acting” speaker, a job invented following four speakerless months. The Senate, meanwhile, is tied in knots by wannabe presidents and aspiring talk-show hosts, who use the chamber as a social-media platform to build their brands by obstructing—well, everything. The Defense Department is among hundreds of agencies that have not been reauthorized, the government has shut down three times, and, yes, it finally happened: The United States briefly defaulted on the national debt, precipitating a market collapse and an economic downturn. No one wanted that outcome, but no one was able to prevent it.

As the presidential primaries unfold, Kanye West is leading a fractured field of Democrats. The Republican front-runner is Phil Robertson, of Duck Dynasty fame. Elected governor of Louisiana only a few months ago, he is promising to defy the Washington establishment by never trimming his beard. Party elders have given up all pretense of being more than spectators, and most of the candidates have given up all pretense of party loyalty. On the debate stages, and everywhere else, anything goes.

I could continue, but you get the gist. Yes, the political future I’ve described is unreal. But it is also a linear extrapolation of several trends on vivid display right now. Astonishingly, the 2016 Republican presidential race has been dominated by a candidate who is not, in any meaningful sense, a Republican. According to registration records, since 1987 Donald Trump has been a Republican, then an independent, then a Democrat, then a Republican, then “I do not wish to enroll in a party,” then a Republican; he has donated to both parties; he has shown loyalty to and affinity for neither. The second-place candidate, Republican Senator Ted Cruz, built his brand by tearing down his party’s: slurring the Senate Republican leader, railing against the Republican establishment, and closing the government as a career move.

Former presidential hopeful Jeb Bush called Donald Trump “a chaos candidate.” Unfortunately for Bush, Trump’s supporters didn’t mind. They liked that about him…

The Republicans’ noisy breakdown has been echoed eerily, albeit less loudly, on the Democratic side, where, after the early primaries, one of the two remaining contestants for the nomination was not, in any meaningful sense, a Democrat. Senator Bernie Sanders was an independent who switched to nominal Democratic affiliation on the day he filed for the New Hampshire primary, only three months before that election. He surged into second place by winning independents while losing Democrats. If it had been up to Democrats to choose their party’s nominee, Sanders’s bid would have collapsed after Super Tuesday. In their various ways, Trump, Cruz, and Sanders are demonstrating a new principle: The political parties no longer have either intelligible boundaries or enforceable norms, and, as a result, renegade political behavior pays.

Political disintegration plagues Congress, too. House Republicans barely managed to elect a speaker last year. Congress did agree in the fall on a budget framework intended to keep the government open through the election—a signal accomplishment, by today’s low standards—but by April, hard-line conservatives had revoked the deal, thereby humiliating the new speaker and potentially causing another shutdown crisis this fall. As of this writing, it’s not clear whether the hard-liners will push to the brink, but the bigger point is this: If they do, there is not much that party leaders can do about it.

And here is the still bigger point: The very term party leaders has become an anachronism. Although Capitol Hill and the campaign trail are miles apart, the breakdown in order in both places reflects the underlying reality that there no longer is any such thing as a party leader. There are only individual actors, pursuing their own political interests and ideological missions willy-nilly, like excited gas molecules in an overheated balloon.

No wonder Paul Ryan, taking the gavel as the new (and reluctant) House speaker in October, complained that the American people “look at Washington, and all they see is chaos. What a relief to them it would be if we finally got our act together.” No one seemed inclined to disagree. Nor was there much argument two months later when Jeb Bush, his presidential campaign sinking, used the c-word in a different but equally apt context. Donald Trump, he said, is “a chaos candidate, and he’d be a chaos president.” Unfortunately for Bush, Trump’s supporters didn’t mind. They liked that about him.

In their different ways, Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders have demonstrated that the major political parties no longer have intelligible boundaries or enforceable norms.

Trump, however, didn’t cause the chaos. The chaos caused Trump. What we are seeing is not a temporary spasm of chaos but a chaos syndrome.

Chaos syndrome is a chronic decline in the political system’s capacity for self-organization. It begins with the weakening of the institutions and brokers—political parties, career politicians, and congressional leaders and committees—that have historically held politicians accountable to one another and prevented everyone in the system from pursuing naked self-interest all the time. As these intermediaries’ influence fades, politicians, activists, and voters all become more individualistic and unaccountable. The system atomizes. Chaos becomes the new normal—both in campaigns and in the government itself.

Our intricate, informal system of political intermediation, which took many decades to build, did not commit suicide or die of old age; we reformed it to death. For decades, well-meaning political reformers have attacked intermediaries as corrupt, undemocratic, unnecessary, or (usually) all of the above. Americans have been busy demonizing and disempowering political professionals and parties, which is like spending decades abusing and attacking your own immune system. Eventually, you will get sick.

The disorder has other causes, too: developments such as ideological polarization, the rise of social media, and the radicalization of the Republican base. But chaos syndrome compounds the effects of those developments, by impeding the task of organizing to counteract them. Insurgencies in presidential races and on Capitol Hill are nothing new, and they are not necessarily bad, as long as the governing process can accommodate them. Years before the Senate had to cope with Ted Cruz, it had to cope with Jesse Helms. The difference is that Cruz shut down the government, which Helms could not have done had he even imagined trying.

Like many disorders, chaos syndrome is self-reinforcing. It causes governmental dysfunction, which fuels public anger, which incites political disruption, which causes yet more governmental dysfunction. Reversing the spiral will require understanding it. Consider, then, the etiology of a political disease: the immune system that defended the body politic for two centuries; the gradual dismantling of that immune system; the emergence of pathogens capable of exploiting the new vulnerability; the symptoms of the disorder; and, finally, its prognosis and treatment.

Immunotherapy system or perhaps we can ask: “Why the political class might be a good thing?”

The Founders knew all too well about chaos. It was the condition that brought them together in 1787 under the Articles of Confederation. The central government had too few powers and powers of the wrong kinds, so they gave it more powers, and also multiple power centers. The core idea of the Constitution was to restrain ambition and excess by forcing competing powers and factions to bargain and compromise.

The Framers worried about demagogic excess and populist caprice, so they created buffers and gatekeepers between voters and the government. Only one chamber, the House of Representatives, would be directly elected. A radical who wanted to get into the Senate would need to get past the state legislature, which selected senators; a usurper who wanted to seize the presidency would need to get past the Electoral College, a convocation of elders who chose the president; and so on.

They were visionaries, those men in Philadelphia, but they could not foresee everything, and they made a serious omission. Unlike the British parliamentary system, the Constitution makes no provision for holding politicians accountable to one another. A rogue member of Congress can’t be “fired” by his party leaders, as a member of Parliament can; a renegade president cannot be evicted in a vote of no confidence, as a British prime minister can. By and large, American politicians are independent operators, and they became even more independent when later reforms, in the 19th and early 20th centuries, neutered the Electoral College and established direct election to the Senate.

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell proved unable to rein in Ted Cruz. (Tom Williams / CQ Roll Call / Getty)
The Constitution makes no mention of many of the essential political structures that we take for granted, such as political parties and congressional committees. If the Constitution were all we had, politicians would be incapable of getting organized to accomplish even routine tasks. Every day, for every bill or compromise, they would have to start from scratch, rounding up hundreds of individual politicians and answering to thousands of squabbling constituencies and millions of voters. By itself, the Constitution is a recipe for chaos.

So Americans developed a second, unwritten constitution. Beginning in the 1790s, politicians sorted themselves into parties. In the 1830s, under Andrew Jackson and Martin Van Buren, the parties established patronage machines and grass-roots bases. The machines and parties used rewards and the occasional punishment to encourage politicians to work together. Meanwhile, Congress developed its seniority and committee systems, rewarding reliability and establishing cooperative routines. Parties, leaders, machines, and congressional hierarchies built densely woven incentive structures that bound politicians into coherent teams. Personal alliances, financial contributions, promotions and prestige, political perks, pork-barrel spending, endorsements, and sometimes a trip to the woodshed or the wilderness: All of those incentives and others, including some of dubious respectability, came into play. If the Constitution was the system’s DNA, the parties and machines and political brokers were its RNA, translating the Founders’ bare-bones framework into dynamic organizations and thus converting conflict into action.

The informal constitution’s intermediaries have many names and faces: state and national party committees, county party chairs, congressional subcommittees, leadership pacs, convention delegates, bundlers, and countless more. For purposes of this essay, I’ll call them all middlemen, because all of them mediated between disorganized swarms of politicians and disorganized swarms of voters, thereby performing the indispensable task that the great political scientist James Q. Wilson called “assembling power in the formal government.”

The middlemen could be undemocratic, high-handed, devious, secretive. But they had one great virtue: They brought order from chaos. They encouraged coordination, interdependency, and mutual accountability. They discouraged solipsistic and antisocial political behavior. A loyal, time-serving member of Congress could expect easy renomination, financial help, promotion through the ranks of committees and leadership jobs, and a new airport or research center for his district. A turncoat or troublemaker, by contrast, could expect to encounter ostracism, marginalization, and difficulties with fund-raising. The system was hierarchical, but it was not authoritarian. Even the lowliest precinct walker or officeholder had a role and a voice and could expect a reward for loyalty; even the highest party boss had to cater to multiple constituencies and fend off periodic challengers.

House Speaker Paul Ryan has already faced a rebellion. The reality is that there no longer is any such thing as a “party leader.” (Cliff Owen / AP)
Parties, machines, and hacks may not have been pretty, but at their best they did their job so well that the country forgot why it needed them. Politics seemed almost to organize itself, but only because the middlemen recruited and nurtured political talent, vetted candidates for competence and loyalty, gathered and dispensed money, built bases of donors and supporters, forged coalitions, bought off antagonists, mediated disputes, brokered compromises, and greased the skids to turn those compromises into law. Though sometimes arrogant, middlemen were not generally elitist. They excelled at organizing and representing unsophisticated voters, as Tammany Hall famously did for the working-class Irish of New York, to the horror of many Progressives who viewed the Irish working class as unfit to govern or even to vote.

The old machines were inclusive only by the standards of their day, of course. They were bad on race—but then, so were Progressives such as Woodrow Wilson. The more intrinsic hazard with middlemen and machines is the ever-present potential for corruption, which is a real problem. On the other hand, overreacting to the threat of corruption by stamping out influence-peddling (as distinct from bribery and extortion) is just as harmful. Political contributions, for example, look unseemly, but they play a vital role as political bonding agents. When a party raised a soft-money donation from a millionaire and used it to support a candidate’s campaign (a common practice until the 2002 McCain-Feingold law banned it in federal elections), the exchange of favors tied a knot of mutual accountability that linked candidate, party, and donor together and forced each to think about the interests of the others. Such transactions may not have comported with the Platonic ideal of democracy, but in the real world they did much to stabilize the system and discourage selfish behavior.

Middlemen have a characteristic that is essential in politics: They stick around. Because careerists and hacks make their living off the system, they have a stake in assembling durable coalitions, in retaining power over time, and in keeping the government in functioning order. Slash-and-burn protests and quixotic ideological crusades are luxuries they can’t afford. Insurgents and renegades have a role, which is to jolt the system with new energy and ideas; but professionals also have a role, which is to safely absorb the energy that insurgents unleash. Think of them as analogous to antibodies and white blood cells, establishing and patrolling the barriers between the body politic and would-be hijackers on the outside. As with biology, so with politics: When the immune system works, it is largely invisible. Only when it breaks down do we become aware of its importance.

Vulnerability to disease or “How the war against political middlemen left America’s body politic, defenseless?”

Beginning early in the 20th century, and continuing right up to the present, reformers and the public turned against every aspect of insider politics: professional politicians, closed-door negotiations, personal favors, party bosses, financial ties, all of it. Progressives accused middlemen of subverting the public interest; populists accused them of obstructing the people’s will; conservatives accused them of protecting and expanding big government.

To some extent, the reformers were right. They had good intentions and valid complaints. Back in the 1970s, as a teenager in the post-Watergate era, I was on their side. Why allow politicians ever to meet behind closed doors? Sunshine is the best disinfectant! Why allow private money to buy favors and distort policy making? Ban it and use Treasury funds to finance elections! It was easy, in those days, to see that there was dirty water in the tub. What was not so evident was the reason the water was dirty, which was the baby. So we started reforming.

We reformed the nominating process. The use of primary elections instead of conventions, caucuses, and other insider-dominated processes dates to the era of Theodore Roosevelt, but primary elections and party influence coexisted through the 1960s; especially in congressional and state races, party leaders had many ways to influence nominations and vet candidates. According to Jon Meacham, in his biography of George H. W. Bush, here is how Bush’s father, Prescott Bush, got started in politics: “Samuel F. Pryor, a top Pan Am executive and a mover in Connecticut politics, called Prescott to ask whether Bush might like to run for Congress. ‘If you would,’ Pryor said, ‘I think we can assure you that you’ll be the nominee.’ ” Today, party insiders can still jawbone a little bit, but, as the 2016 presidential race has made all too clear, there is startlingly little they can do to influence the nominating process.

Primary races now tend to be dominated by highly motivated extremists and interest groups, with the perverse result of leaving moderates and broader, less well-organized constituencies underrepresented. According to the Pew Research Center, in the first 12 presidential-primary contests of 2016, only 17 percent of eligible voters participated in Republican primaries, and only 12 percent in Democratic primaries. In other words, Donald Trump seized the lead in the primary process by winning a mere plurality of a mere fraction of the electorate. In off-year congressional primaries, when turnout is even lower, it’s even easier for the tail to wag the dog. In the 2010 Delaware Senate race, Christine “I am not a witch” O’Donnell secured the Republican nomination by winning just a sixth of the state’s registered Republicans, thereby handing a competitive seat to the Democrats. Surveying congressional primaries for a 2014 Brookings Institution report, the journalists Jill Lawrence and Walter Shapiro observed: “The universe of those who actually cast primary ballots is small and hyper-partisan, and rewards candidates who hew to ideological orthodoxy.” By contrast, party hacks tend to shop for candidates who exert broad appeal in a general election and who will sustain and build the party’s brand, so they generally lean toward relative moderates and team players.

Parties, machines, and hacks may not have been pretty, but they did their job—so well that the country forgot why it needed them.
Moreover, recent research by the political scientists Jamie L. Carson and Jason M. Roberts finds that party leaders of yore did a better job of encouraging qualified mainstream candidates to challenge incumbents. “In congressional districts across the country, party leaders were able to carefully select candidates who would contribute to the collective good of the ticket,” Carson and Roberts write in their 2013 book, Ambition, Competition, and Electoral Reform: The Politics of Congressional Elections Across Time. “This led to a plentiful supply of quality candidates willing to enter races, since the potential costs of running and losing were largely underwritten by the party organization.” The switch to direct primaries, in which contenders generally self-recruit and succeed or fail on their own account, has produced more oddball and extreme challengers and thereby made general elections less competitive. “A series of reforms that were intended to create more open and less ‘insider’ dominated elections actually produced more entrenched politicians,” Carson and Roberts write. The paradoxical result is that members of Congress today are simultaneously less responsive to mainstream interests and harder to dislodge.

Was the switch to direct public nomination a net benefit or drawback? The answer to that question is subjective. But one effect is not in doubt: Institutionalists have less power than ever before to protect loyalists who play well with other politicians, or who take a tough congressional vote for the team, or who dare to cross single-issue voters and interests; and they have little capacity to fend off insurgents who owe nothing to anybody. Walled safely inside their gerrymandered districts, incumbents are insulated from general-election challenges that might pull them toward the political center, but they are perpetually vulnerable to primary challenges from extremists who pull them toward the fringes. Everyone worries about being the next Eric Cantor, the Republican House majority leader who, in a shocking upset, lost to an unknown Tea Partier in his 2014 primary. Legislators are scared of voting for anything that might increase the odds of a primary challenge, which is one reason it is so hard to raise the debt limit or pass a budget.

In March, when Republican Senator Jerry Moran of Kansas told a Rotary Club meeting that he thought President Obama’s Supreme Court nominee deserved a Senate hearing, the Tea Party Patriots immediately responded with what has become activists’ go-to threat: “It’s this kind of outrageous behavior that leads Tea Party Patriots Citizens Fund activists and supporters to think seriously about encouraging Dr. Milton Wolf”—a physician and Tea Party activist—“to run against Sen. Moran in the August GOP primary.” (Moran hastened to issue a statement saying that he would oppose Obama’s nominee regardless.) Purist issue groups often have the whip hand now, and unlike the elected bosses of yore, they are accountable only to themselves and are able merely to prevent legislative action, not to organize it.

We reformed political money. Starting in the 1970s, large-dollar donations to candidates and parties were subject to a tightening web of regulations. The idea was to reduce corruption (or its appearance) and curtail the power of special interests—certainly laudable goals. Campaign-finance rules did stop some egregious transactions, but at a cost: Instead of eliminating money from politics (which is impossible), the rules diverted much of it to private channels. Whereas the parties themselves were once largely responsible for raising and spending political money, in their place has arisen a burgeoning ecology of deep-pocketed donors, super pacs, 501(c)(4)s, and so-called 527 groups that now spend hundreds of millions of dollars each cycle. The result has been the creation of an array of private political machines across the country: for instance, the Koch brothers’ Americans for Prosperity and Karl Rove’s American Crossroads on the right, and Tom Steyer’s NextGen Climate on the left.

Private groups are much harder to regulate, less transparent, and less accountable than are the parties and candidates, who do, at the end of the day, have to face the voters. Because they thrive on purism, protest, and parochialism, the outside groups are driving politics toward polarization, extremism, and short-term gain. “You may win or lose, but at least you have been intellectually consistent—your principles haven’t been defeated,” an official with Americans for Prosperity told The Economist in October 2014. The parties, despite being called to judgment by voters for their performance, face all kinds of constraints and regulations that the private groups don’t, tilting the playing field against them. “The internal conversation we’ve been having is ‘How do we keep state parties alive?’ ” the director of a mountain-state Democratic Party organization told me and Raymond J. La Raja recently for a Brookings Institution report. Republicans told us the same story. “We believe we are fighting for our lives in the current legal and judicial framework, and the super pacs and (c)(4)s really present a direct threat to the state parties’ existence,” a southern state’s Republican Party director said.

The state parties also told us they can’t begin to match the advertising money flowing from outside groups and candidates. Weakened by regulations and resource constraints, they have been reduced to spectators, while candidates and groups form circular firing squads and alienate voters. At the national level, the situation is even more chaotic—and ripe for exploitation by a savvy demagogue who can make himself heard above the din, as Donald Trump has so shrewdly proved.

We reformed Congress. For a long time, seniority ruled on Capitol Hill. To exercise power, you had to wait for years, and chairs ran their committees like fiefs. It was an arrangement that hardly seemed either meritocratic or democratic. Starting with a rebellion by the liberal post-Watergate class in the ’70s, and then accelerating with the rise of Newt Gingrich and his conservative revolutionaries in the ’90s, the seniority and committee systems came under attack and withered. Power on the Hill has flowed both up to a few top leaders and down to individual members. Unfortunately, the reformers overlooked something important: Seniority and committee spots rewarded teamwork and loyalty, they ensured that people at the top were experienced, and they harnessed hundreds of middle-ranking members of Congress to the tasks of legislating. Compounding the problem, Gingrich’s Republican revolutionaries, eager to prove their anti-Washington bona fides, cut committee staffs by a third, further diminishing Congress’s institutional horsepower.

Smoke-filled rooms were good for brokering complex compromises in which nothing was settled until everything was settled.
Congress’s attempts to replace hierarchies and middlemen with top-down diktat and ad hoc working groups have mostly failed. More than perhaps ever before, Congress today is a collection of individual entrepreneurs and pressure groups. In the House, disintermediation has shifted the balance of power toward a small but cohesive minority of conservative Freedom Caucus members who think nothing of wielding their power against their own leaders. Last year, as House Republicans struggled to agree on a new speaker, the conservatives did not blush at demanding “the right to oppose their leaders and vote down legislation without repercussions,” as Time magazine reported. In the Senate, Ted Cruz made himself a leading presidential contender by engaging in debt-limit brinkmanship and deriding the party’s leadership, going so far as to call Majority Leader Mitch McConnell a liar on the Senate floor. “The rhetoric—and confrontational stance—are classic Cruz,” wrote Burgess Everett in Politico last October: “Stake out a position to the right of where his leaders will end up, criticize them for ignoring him and conservative grass-roots voters, then use the ensuing internecine fight to stoke his presidential bid.” No wonder his colleagues detest him. But Cruz was doing what makes sense in an age of maximal political individualism, and we can safely bet that his success will inspire imitation.

We reformed closed-door negotiations. As recently as the early 1970s, congressional committees could easily retreat behind closed doors and members could vote on many bills anonymously, with only the final tallies reported. Federal advisory committees, too, could meet off the record. Understandably, in the wake of Watergate, those practices came to be viewed as suspect. Today, federal law, congressional rules, and public expectations have placed almost all formal deliberations and many informal ones in full public view. One result is greater transparency, which is good. But another result is that finding space for delicate negotiations and candid deliberations can be difficult. Smoke-filled rooms, whatever their disadvantages, were good for brokering complex compromises in which nothing was settled until everything was settled; once gone, they turned out to be difficult to replace. In public, interest groups and grandstanding politicians can tear apart a compromise before it is halfway settled.

Despite promising to televise negotiations over health-care reform, President Obama went behind closed doors with interest groups to put the package together; no sane person would have negotiated in full public view. In 2013, Congress succeeded in approving a modest bipartisan budget deal in large measure because the House and Senate Budget Committee chairs were empowered to “figure it out themselves, very, very privately,” as one Democratic aide told Jill Lawrence for a 2015 Brookings report. TV cameras, recorded votes, and public markups do increase transparency, but they come at the cost of complicating candid conversations. “The idea that Washington would work better if there were TV cameras monitoring every conversation gets it exactly wrong,” the Democratic former Senate majority leader Tom Daschle wrote in 2014, in his foreword to the book City of Rivals. “The lack of opportunities for honest dialogue and creative give-and-take lies at the root of today’s dysfunction.”

We reformed pork. For most of American history, a principal goal of any member of Congress was to bring home bacon for his district. Pork-barrel spending never really cost very much, and it helped glue Congress together by giving members a kind of currency to trade: You support my pork, and I’ll support yours. Also, because pork was dispensed by powerful appropriations committees with input from senior congressional leaders, it provided a handy way for the leadership to buy votes and reward loyalists. Starting in the ’70s, however, and then snowballing in the ’90s, the regular appropriations process broke down, a casualty of reforms that weakened appropriators’ power, of “sunshine laws” that reduced their autonomy, and of polarization that complicated negotiations. Conservatives and liberals alike attacked pork-barreling as corrupt, culminating in early 2011, when a strange-bedfellows coalition of Tea Partiers and progressives banned earmarking, the practice of dropping goodies into bills as a way to attract votes—including, ironically, votes for politically painful spending reductions.

Congress has not passed all its annual appropriations bills in 20 years, and more than $300 billion a year in federal spending goes out the door without proper authorization. Routine business such as passing a farm bill or a surface-transportation bill now takes years instead of weeks or months to complete. Today two-thirds of federal-program spending (excluding interest on the national debt) runs on formula-driven autopilot. This automatic spending by so-called entitlement programs eludes the discipline of being regularly voted on, dwarfs old-fashioned pork in magnitude, and is so hard to restrain that it’s often called the “third rail” of politics. The political cost has also been high: Congressional leaders lost one of their last remaining tools to induce followership and team play. “Trying to be a leader where you have no sticks and very few carrots is dang near impossible,” the Republican former Senate Majority Leader Trent Lott told CNN in 2013, shortly after renegade Republicans pointlessly shut down the government. “Members don’t get anything from you and leaders don’t give anything. They don’t feel like you can reward them or punish them.”

Donald Trump had no political debts or party loyalty. And he had no compunctions—which made him the perfect vector for anti-establishment sentiment. Like campaign contributions and smoke-filled rooms, pork is a tool of democratic governance, not a violation of it. It can be used for corrupt purposes but also, very often, for vital ones. As the political scientist Diana Evans wrote in a 2004 book, Greasing the Wheels: Using Pork Barrel Projects to Build Majority Coalitions in Congress, “The irony is this: pork barreling, despite its much maligned status, gets things done.” In 1964, to cite one famous example, Lyndon Johnson could not have passed his landmark civil-rights bill without support from House Republican leader Charles Halleck of Indiana, who named his price: a nasa research grant for his district, which LBJ was glad to provide. Just last year, Republican Senator John McCain, the chairman of the Senate Armed Services Committee, was asked how his committee managed to pass bipartisan authorization bills year after year, even as the rest of Congress ground to a legislative standstill. In part, McCain explained, it was because “there’s a lot in there for members of the committees.”

Party-dominated nominating processes, soft money, congressional seniority, closed-door negotiations, pork-barrel spending—put each practice under a microscope in isolation, and it seems an unsavory way of doing political business. But sweep them all away, and one finds that business is not getting done at all. The political reforms of the past 40 or so years have pushed toward disintermediation—by favoring amateurs and outsiders over professionals and insiders; by privileging populism and self-expression over mediation and mutual restraint; by stripping middlemen of tools they need to organize the political system. All of the reforms promote an individualistic, atomized model of politics in which there are candidates and there are voters, but there is nothing in between. Other, larger trends, to be sure, have also contributed to political disorganization, but the war on middlemen has amplified and accelerated them.

Illness pathogens thrive in our bodies when our immune system is compromised: “This is how Donald Trump and other viruses got through…”

By the beginning of this decade, the political system’s organic defenses against outsiders and insurgents were visibly crumbling. All that was needed was for the right virus to come along and exploit the opening. As it happened, two came along.

In 2009, on the heels of President Obama’s election and the economic-bailout packages, angry fiscal conservatives launched the Tea Party insurgency and watched, somewhat to their own astonishment, as it swept the country. Tea Partiers shared some of the policy predilections of loyal Republican partisans, but their mind-set was angrily anti-establishment. In a 2013 Pew Research poll, more than 70 percent of them disapproved of Republican leaders in Congress. In a 2010 Pew poll, they had rejected compromise by similar margins. They thought nothing of mounting primary challenges against Republican incumbents, and they made a special point of targeting Republicans who compromised with Democrats or even with Republican leaders. In Congress, the Republican House leadership soon found itself facing a GOP caucus whose members were too worried about “getting primaried” to vote for the compromises necessary to govern—or even to keep the government open. Threats from the Tea Party and other purist factions often outweigh any blandishments or protection that leaders can offer.

So far the Democrats have been mostly spared the anti-compromise insurrection, but their defenses are not much stronger. Molly Ball recently reported for The Atlantic’s Web site on the Working Families Party, whose purpose is “to make Democratic politicians more accountable to their liberal base through the asymmetric warfare party primaries enable, much as the conservative movement has done to Republicans.” Because African Americans and union members still mostly behave like party loyalists, and because the Democratic base does not want to see President Obama fail, the Tea Party trick hasn’t yet worked on the left. But the Democrats are vulnerable structurally, and the anti-compromise virus is out there.

A second virus was initially identified in 2002, by the University of Nebraska at Lincoln political scientists John R. Hibbing and Elizabeth Theiss-Morse, in their book Stealth Democracy: Americans’ Beliefs About How Government Should Work. It’s a shocking book, one whose implications other scholars were understandably reluctant to engage with. The rise of Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders, however, makes confronting its thesis unavoidable.

Using polls and focus groups, Hibbing and Theiss-Morse found that between 25 and 40 percent of Americans (depending on how one measures) have a severely distorted view of how government and politics are supposed to work. I think of these people as “politiphobes,” because they see the contentious give-and-take of politics as unnecessary and distasteful. Specifically, they believe that obvious, commonsense solutions to the country’s problems are out there for the plucking. The reason these obvious solutions are not enacted is that politicians are corrupt, or self-interested, or addicted to unnecessary partisan feuding. Not surprisingly, politiphobes think the obvious, commonsense solutions are the sorts of solutions that they themselves prefer. But the more important point is that they do not acknowledge that meaningful policy disagreement even exists. From that premise, they conclude that all the arguing and partisanship and horse-trading that go on in American politics are entirely unnecessary. Politicians could easily solve all our problems if they would only set aside their craven personal agendas.

If politicians won’t do the job, then who will? Politiphobes, according to Hibbing and Theiss-Morse, believe policy should be made not by messy political conflict and negotiations but by ensids: empathetic, non-self-interested decision makers. These are leaders who will step forward, cast aside cowardly politicians and venal special interests, and implement long-overdue solutions. ensids can be politicians, technocrats, or autocrats—whatever works. Whether the process is democratic is not particularly important.

Chances are that politiphobes have been out there since long before Hibbing and Theiss-Morse identified them in 2002. Unlike the Tea Party or the Working Families Party, they aren’t particularly ideological: They have popped up left, right, and center. Ross Perot’s independent presidential candidacies of 1992 and 1996 appealed to the idea that any sensible businessman could knock heads together and fix Washington. In 2008, Barack Obama pandered to a center-left version of the same fantasy, promising to magically transcend partisan politics and implement the best solutions from both parties.

“Pork” can be a vital tool of democratic governance.
No previous outbreak, however, compares with the latest one, which draws unprecedented virulence from two developments. One is a steep rise in antipolitical sentiment, especially on the right. According to polling by Pew, from 2007 to early 2016 the percentage of Americans saying they would be less likely to vote for a presidential candidate who had been an elected official in Washington for many years than for an outsider candidate more than doubled, from 15 percent to 31 percent. Republican opinion has shifted more sharply still: The percentage of Republicans preferring “new ideas and a different approach” over “experience and a proven record” almost doubled in just the six months from March to September of 2015.

The other development, of course, was Donald Trump, the perfect vector to concentrate politiphobic sentiment, intensify it, and inject it into presidential politics. He had too much money and free media to be spent out of the race. He had no political record to defend. He had no political debts or party loyalty. He had no compunctions. There was nothing to restrain him from sounding every note of the politiphobic fantasy with perfect pitch.

Democrats have not been immune, either. Like Trump, Bernie Sanders appealed to the antipolitical idea that the mere act of voting for him would prompt a “revolution” that would somehow clear up such knotty problems as health-care coverage, financial reform, and money in politics. Like Trump, he was a self-sufficient outsider without customary political debts or party loyalty. Like Trump, he neither acknowledged nor cared—because his supporters neither acknowledged nor cared—that his plans for governing were delusional.

Trump, Sanders, and Ted Cruz have in common that they are political sociopaths—meaning not that they are crazy, but that they don’t care what other politicians think about their behavior and they don’t need to care. That three of the four final presidential contenders in 2016 were political sociopaths is a sign of how far chaos syndrome has gone. The old, mediated system selected such people out. The new, disintermediated system seems to be selecting them in.

Political Chaos is the Disease Symptom. “This is the disorder that exacerbates all the other disorders.”

There is nothing new about political insurgencies in the United States—nor anything inherently wrong with them. Just the opposite, in fact: Insurgencies have brought fresh ideas and renewed participation to the political system since at least the time of Andrew Jackson.

There is also nothing new about insiders losing control of the presidential nominating process. In 1964 and 1972, to the dismay of party regulars, nominations went to unelectable candidates—Barry Goldwater for the Republicans in 1964 and George McGovern for the Democrats in 1972—who thrilled the parties’ activist bases and went on to predictably epic defeats. So it’s tempting to say, “Democracy is messy. Insurgents have fair gripes. Incumbents should be challenged. Who are you, Mr. Establishment, to say the system is broken merely because you don’t like the people it is pushing forward?”

The problem is not, however, that disruptions happen. The problem is that chaos syndrome wreaks havoc on the system’s ability to absorb and channel disruptions. Trying to quash political disruptions would probably only create more of them. The trick is to be able to govern through them.

Leave aside the fact that Goldwater and McGovern, although ideologues, were estimable figures within their parties. (McGovern actually co-chaired a Democratic Party commission that rewrote the nominating rules after 1968, opening the way for his own campaign.) Neither of them, either as senator or candidate, wanted to or did disrupt the ordinary workings of government.

Jason Grumet, the president of the Bipartisan Policy Center and the author of City of Rivals, likes to point out that within three weeks of Bill Clinton’s impeachment by the House of Representatives, the president was signing new laws again. “While they were impeaching him they were negotiating, they were talking, they were having committee hearings,” Grumet said in a recent speech. “And so we have to ask ourselves, what is it that not long ago allowed our government to metabolize the aggression that is inherent in any pluralistic society and still get things done?”

I have been covering Washington since the early 1980s, and I’ve seen a lot of gridlock. Sometimes I’ve been grateful for gridlock, which is an appropriate outcome when there is no working majority for a particular policy. For me, however, 2011 brought a wake-up call. The system was failing even when there was a working majority. That year, President Obama and Republican House Speaker John Boehner, in intense personal negotiations, tried to clinch a budget agreement that touched both parties’ sacred cows, curtailing growth in the major entitlement programs such as Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security by hundreds of billions of dollars and increasing revenues by $800 billion or more over 10 years, as well as reducing defense and non-defense discretionary spending by more than $1 trillion. Though it was less grand than previous budgetary “grand bargains,” the package represented the kind of bipartisan accommodation that constitutes the federal government’s best and perhaps only path to long-term fiscal stability.

Former House Speaker John Boehner explained to Jay Leno before he resigned: “You learn that a leader without followers is simply a man taking a walk.” (Steve Helber / AP)
People still debate why the package fell apart, and there is blame enough to go around. My own reading at the time, however, concurred with Matt Bai’s postmortem in The New York Times: Democratic leaders could have found the rank-and-file support they needed to pass the bargain, but Boehner could not get the deal past conservatives in his own caucus. “What’s undeniable, despite all the furious efforts to peddle a different story,” Bai wrote, “is that Obama managed to persuade his closest allies to sign off on what he wanted them to do, and Boehner didn’t, or couldn’t.” We’ll never know, but I believe that the kind of budget compromise Boehner and Obama tried to shake hands on, had it reached a vote, would have passed with solid majorities in both chambers and been signed into law. The problem was not polarization; it was disorganization. A latent majority could not muster and assert itself.

As soon became apparent, Boehner’s 2011 debacle was not a glitch but part of an emerging pattern. Two years later, the House’s conservative faction shut down the government with the connivance of Ted Cruz, the very last thing most Republicans wanted to happen. When Boehner was asked by Jay Leno why he had permitted what the speaker himself called a “very predictable disaster,” he replied, rather poignantly: “When I looked up, I saw my colleagues going this way. You learn that a leader without followers is simply a man taking a walk.”

Boehner was right. Washington doesn’t have a crisis of leadership; it has a crisis of followership. One can argue about particulars, and Congress does better on some occasions than on others. Overall, though, minority factions and veto groups are becoming ever more dominant on Capitol Hill as leaders watch their organizational capacity dribble away. Helpless to do much more than beg for support, and hostage to his own party’s far right, an exhausted Boehner finally gave up and quit last year. Almost immediately, his heir apparent, Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy, was shot to pieces too. No wonder Paul Ryan, in his first act as speaker, remonstrated with his own colleagues against chaos.

Nevertheless, by spring the new speaker was bogged down. “Almost six months into the job, Ryan and his top lieutenants face questions about whether the Wisconsin Republican’s tenure atop the House is any more effective than his predecessor,” Politico’s Web site reported in April. The House Republican Conference, an unnamed Republican told Politico, is “unwhippable and unleadable. Ryan is as talented as you can be: There’s nobody better. But even he can’t do anything. Who could?”

Of course, Congress’s incompetence makes the electorate even more disgusted, which leads to even greater political volatility. In a Republican presidential debate in March, Ohio Governor John Kasich described the cycle this way: The people, he said, “want change, and they keep putting outsiders in to bring about the change. Then the change doesn’t come … because we’re putting people in that don’t understand compromise.” Disruption in politics and dysfunction in government reinforce each other. Chaos becomes the new normal.

Being a disorder of the immune system, chaos syndrome magnifies other problems, turning political head colds into pneumonia. Take polarization. Over the past few decades, the public has become sharply divided across partisan and ideological lines. Chaos syndrome compounds the problem, because even when Republicans and Democrats do find something to work together on, the threat of an extremist primary challenge funded by a flood of outside money makes them think twice—or not at all. Opportunities to make bipartisan legislative advances slip away.

Neurotic hatred of the political class is the country’s last universally acceptable form of bigotry.
Or take the new technologies that are revolutionizing the media. Today, a figure like Trump can reach millions through Twitter without needing to pass network‑TV gatekeepers or spend a dime. A figure like Sanders can use the Internet to reach millions of donors without recourse to traditional fund-raising sources. Outside groups, friendly and unfriendly alike, can drown out political candidates in their own races. (As a frustrated Cruz told a supporter about outside groups ostensibly backing his presidential campaign, “I’m left to just hope that what they say bears some resemblance to what I actually believe.”) Disruptive media technologies are nothing new in American politics; they have arisen periodically since the early 19th century, as the historian Jill Lepore noted in a February article in The New Yorker. What is new is the system’s difficulty in coping with them. Disintermediating technologies bring fresh voices into the fray, but they also bring atomization and cacophony. To organize coherent plays amid swarms of attack ads, middlemen need to be able to coordinate the fund-raising and messaging of candidates and parties and activists—which is what they are increasingly hard-pressed to do.

Assembling power to govern a sprawling, diverse, and increasingly divided democracy is inevitably hard. Chaos syndrome makes it all the harder. For Democrats, the disorder is merely chronic; for the Republican Party, it is acute. Finding no precedent for what he called Trump’s hijacking of an entire political party, Jon Meacham went so far as to tell Joe Scarborough in The Washington Post that George W. Bush might prove to be the last Republican president.

Nearly everyone panned party regulars for not stopping Trump much earlier, but no one explained just how the party regulars were supposed to have done that. Stopping an insurgency requires organizing a coalition against it, but an incapacity to organize is the whole problem. The reality is that the levers and buttons parties and political professionals might once have pulled and pushed had long since been disconnected.

Political Prognosis and Treatment of the disease: “Political chaos syndrome as a psychiatric disorder.”

I don’t have a quick solution to the current mess, but I do think it would be easy, in principle, to start moving in a better direction. Although returning parties and middlemen to anything like their 19th-century glory is not conceivable—or, in today’s America, even desirable—strengthening parties and middlemen is very doable. Restrictions inhibiting the parties from coordinating with their own candidates serve to encourage political wildcatting, so repeal them. Limits on donations to the parties drive money to unaccountable outsiders, so lift them. Restoring the earmarks that help grease legislative success requires nothing more than a change in congressional rules. And there are all kinds of ways the parties could move insiders back to the center of the nomination process. If they wanted to, they could require would-be candidates to get petition signatures from elected officials and county party chairs, or they could send unbound delegates to their conventions (as several state parties are doing this year), or they could enhance the role of middlemen in a host of other ways.

Building party machines and political networks is what career politicians naturally do, if they’re allowed to do it. So let them. I’m not talking about rigging the system to exclude challengers or prevent insurgencies. I’m talking about de-rigging the system to reduce its pervasive bias against middlemen. Then they can do their job, thereby making the world safe for challengers and insurgencies.

Unfortunately, although the mechanics of de-rigging are fairly straightforward, the politics of it are hard. The public is wedded to an anti-establishment narrative. The political-reform community is invested in direct participation, transparency, fund-raising limits on parties, and other elements of the anti-intermediation worldview. The establishment, to the extent that there still is such a thing, is demoralized and shattered, barely able to muster an argument for its own existence.

But there are optimistic signs, too. Liberals in the campaign-finance-reform community are showing new interest in strengthening the parties. Academics and commentators are getting a good look at politics without effective organizers and cohesive organizations, and they are terrified. On Capitol Hill, conservatives and liberals alike are on board with restoring regular order in Congress. In Washington, insiders have had some success at reorganizing and pushing back. No Senate Republican was defeated by a primary challenger in 2014, in part because then–Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, a machine politician par excellence, created a network of business allies to counterpunch against the Tea Party.

The biggest obstacle, I think, is the general public’s reflexive, unreasoning hostility to politicians and the process of politics. Neurotic hatred of the political class is the country’s last universally acceptable form of bigotry. Because that problem is mental, not mechanical, it really is hard to remedy.

In March, a Trump supporter told The New York Times, “I want to see Trump go up there and do damage to the Republican Party.” Another said, “We know who Donald Trump is, and we’re going to use Donald Trump to either take over the G.O.P. or blow it up.” That kind of anti-establishment nihilism deserves no respect or accommodation in American public life. Populism, individualism, and a skeptical attitude toward politics are all healthy up to a point, but America has passed that point. Political professionals and parties have many shortcomings to answer for—including, primarily on the Republican side, their self-mutilating embrace of anti-establishment rhetoric—but relentlessly bashing them is no solution. You haven’t heard anyone say this, but it’s time someone did: Our most pressing political problem today is that the country abandoned the establishment, not the other way around.

In conclusion to await the Collapse of our Civilization because of The Donald is not the right course of thought or action.

However to be sure — the coming Collapse is imminent, not because THe Donald is the new President of the United States, but because we live in an unsustainable way.

Each and every day we do the same stupid things that we’ve done before and yet expect some miraculous change to occur by itself.

Each and every day we rape our environment and pollute our atmosphere.

And even daily, we destroy our ecosystems with abandon, as if they were going to somehow magically regenerate themselves.

We drive the planet and all species to destruction without consideration.

We slash and burn the living skin of our planet, all the while we demand more cow protein from the unsustainable farms that are springing up all over the Amazonas.

Daily we pollute all the environmental commons, near and far.

We destroy areas of boreal forest the size of whole European countries to wrest some oil from the frozen rocks in the tar sands projects of Alberta.

And then we transport that oil to distill it into gasoline so that we can burn it up and create more and more global warming as we release the CO2 into the atmosphere.

And we do all that for profit. We destroy our home for profit as if it justifies everything.

And daily the rapacious elites or Morons and Criminals, are getting wealthier, and wealthier — further ensuring that the Collapse in near.

Not because of their useless accumulated wealth but because the division between the uber-wealthy and the masses of labor and the unemployed, is getting far greater than what can be termed as sustainable.

And as we all know UNSUSTAINBLE SOCIETIES AND CIVILIZATIONS COLLAPSE.

You see the point is that when the 1% of the 1% owns as much wealth and more than the other 90% of Society — we are slated to go the way of the Mayans, the Incas, the Toltecs, the Olmecs, or the ancient Mesopotamians, and the willy burial pyramid building Egyptians.

Have we learned anything from observing those Morons losing their way and driving themselves into oblivion, or we need to study some others to believe?

How long will it take for any student of History to cotton-on to the idea that we are already sleep-walking off the cliff?

How long will take for us to start electing Leaders that understand that our course of history is clearly unsustainable, and our environmental destruction is unavoidable — therefore our collapse is inevitable too.

How long will it take for you to wake up Motherfuckers?

Or maybe you don’t think the science is correct eh?

It’s alright… we all know that we are not gonna be here forever.

Right…

And if you don’t believe me — just ask the Dinosaurs.

Yours,
Dr Churchill

PS:
Now go and mull it all up.

Out of Politics and Chaos, New Emergent Life Arrives… or Not.

Posted by: Dr Pano Churchill | July 23, 2016

Utmost Fish

Been working with a great CRISPR company down in Silicon Valley for a while now and think that we just had a breakthrough…

A tremendous breakthrough in both Science and Technology but equally important is that we had a new breakthrough in Finance by completing the First round under my Leadership for this amazing and much promising Startup that will lead the world in this exciting new field of Genetics

Things are moving very fast, but during this funding cycle that I initiated for this Company I had to pull together a syndicate of friends and other Angel Investors along with a few select early stage Venture Capital friends that over the years have gained my trust and I choose to give them first dibs.

Yet the rigorous intellectual discussions that helped me close this First Round for this amazing StartUp, led me to hold a series of round table discussions about not just this Company, but also about all the things that this new BioInformatics, and the new BioTech and Med-Tech or gene editing and splicing disruptive technology that change the world today and help us live healthy lives in our collective tomorrows — really works in the critical and well reasoned minds of the smartest investors, and also in the imagination of those not quite so smart…

So I thought to share some pertinent data and snippets of these intelligent discussions for the benefit of all the Leaders, the CEOs, and Founders of Great Science & Tech Startups out there — that read this blog religiously.

So here’s the gist of it:

Just think about companies such as Google, Genentech, SpaceX, Cancer9, Gilead, Icos, and WellHeart, that were started by really smart people who had the domain expertise and the willingness to think and perceive the world differently, and who were crazy enough to put everything on the line to risk their lives and reputation just to make a difference in your lives, and maybe put a dent in the Universe…

Screen Shot 2016-07-23 at 10.40.32 AM

But as an investor and especially when you are not an advanced Scientist, or a Medical Doctor, or you are an Angel without deep domain expertise, especially when you don’t have the relevant background — how do you get it?

How do you grog the concept of this complex science StartUp solution?

How do you understand?

And even if you make a half hearted attempt at understanding — how do you communicate forward your deficient understanding in order to make it better?

At the end of the day — how do you communicate and get to be accepted as a Player, so you can be invited to play ball in this open Darwinian green playing field where I’ve invited You to play with the Big Boys?

How do you prove your worth in sharing info and communicating with these erudite folks that often times speak at a much higher level of abstraction that most of us are normally accustomed to understanding?

And how do you educate all those other folks who want to play junior VC and get their teeth kicked in by the elders who want them to pay for their education, or by the uncompromising Sharks, and the VC shysters who are adept at fleecing the fools at the Carny?

And if you factor in there the Clowns and the leggy bitches, or the boobsy Blondes, and the always cute “Damsels in Distress” who bat their eyelids while claiming that they seriously only want to save the world — if you were good enough to invest a million, or ten, or even a hundred million US dollars of legal tender into their blood sucking Startup — you’ll become overnight Rich & Famous and get to kiss the star eyed lady wearing the black turtleneck sweater, straight in the noisemaker.

Now you get the idea and most of you already know that the sea is full of shoals and the beach is teeming with caymans, salt water croks, and aligators, and further inside, the sharks are hungry as hell. So be careful when you go swimming in the wild waves of the Internet crowdfunding and equity funding and when you go wading at the early stage investment seas, because this make for a really cruel, brutish and short lifetime for the unsuspecting investor.

Screen Shot 2016-07-23 at 10.38.50 AM

As a primer — I tell my co-investors that a startup’s pitch or the Founder’s spiel is not about knowing if the science behind the new technology is a breakthrough, but about the full value of the solution to the problem that the new Startup is bringing to the World.

That is the value that American Angels and the American Venture Company gives to all of our co-investors. From offering frequent meetings, and guiding their hand to the best Startups and to the best Term sheet, all the way to offering practical insights, and rules of the road tips amidst the constant exploration of the considerations of how to best invest in truly disruptive technology while mitigating risk and maximizing returns.

Today there is a plethora of deals floating around the internet as general solicitation-type pitches, and specifically, deals we’re all hearing about in the med-tech and the BioTech arena that are being compared to space-age technologies and are being launched unashamedly as Reg A financing opportunities for the Hoi-Poloi of the Internet who don’t even know what Reg A is let alone knowing what the specific StartUp is going to be doing with their money, even if they understood the Science as all Investors ought to do, and yet this vast new majority of unaccredited investors doesn’t bother to learn.

So it’s a giant crapshoot game going on out there and as we all know how these things end — it will surely not be pretty…

Screen Shot 2016-07-23 at 10.39.14 AM

Of course I am not commenting on my already voiced skepticism about the viability of getting retail Reg A deals to closure when those deals involve issuers with extremely technical pursuits, but about the basic issue I have that is that super-technical deals should not be sellable to retail unaccredited investors, and to the general public because they poison the well when copycats come up with hokey pokey and baloney fraudulent deals that just look technical when they are just ponzi schemes.

And I think that facts will bear me out on this because a “regular” person without a scientific background can’t even distinguish, let alone evaluate such an opportunity that requires scientific knowledge and deep rational thinking with critical abstraction devotion, just to be able to get through the reading of the patents and the IP that these great companies have.

And I would pose these further Socratic question to the Senators and House Lawmakers, to the White House economic development, and Finance folks, to the SEC Regulators and to the Public alike:

Should we be promoting the Reg A as a tool for all and sundry to use to become another snake oil and hair potion “shopping mall” paradise, for the hacksters, the hawkers, and the fraudsters of the Web, in order for them to peddle fake hopes & broken dreams, to the public while themselves thrive by lighting upon unsuspecting investors who can ill afford to lose their life savings?

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I am thinking of the little old ladies and the orphans fund here, just as much as I think of the ill informed young and optimistic hopeful early stage investor that we commonly call Angel. And if we think of it solipsisticaly — we ought to ask if it is even appropriate, to sell such deals to unaccredited investors who have much to lose and very little to gain?

Should we be educating all of you about early stage investment so that you can become proper Angels or should we accept the usual old saw of “Buyer Beware” that “Caveat Emptor” should fully apply and always cover with a fig leaf this Wild-West internet fashion du jour, and we should best let sleeping dogs lay lest we spoil this newfound Freedom to trade in early stage Equities and make a ton of money off the stupids?

From this point of view and if this issue is seen from a Financial Authorities Regulatory perspective or that of an SEC licensed dealer-broker, we’ve got investor suitability issues to think about, but above all that we have ETHICS to uphold and the Moral Sentiment of Market makers and of our Good Selves, that we have to be able to look into our children’s eyes and tell them that we do an honest days work to earn their keep.

And above all, we ought to be our Brother’s keeper and our Sister’s safe holder, and the protectors of our Community, because that’s what Real Men and Women do.

We are not those silly mach jackasses that hawk fake valueless stocks like Theranos and so many others to unsuspecting investors.

And especially because of that and perhaps even more importantly because Regulation A legally allows for the sale of securities to an unaccredited investor — we should be asking the following hard questions too:

Is it really ethical, wise, and beneficial to sell that type of equities and complex stock deals to unaccredited investors, or even accredited ones but not savvy Angels and Early Stage Venture Capitalists?

Moreover, should a complex BioTech StartUp company even want investors inside their deal who are in constant need of education and explanation? Do we want to get into the midst of sophisticated investors’ meeting those people who clearly don’t have the intellectual wherewithal to comprehend the science and the solution we are developing?

Will we need to dummy-down things and discussions to their level?

Won’t this bring the intellectual level of the company down to the low median?

Or should we be spending all of our meeting time within the company educating the poorly educated, so they can play catch up?

This is the stuff that I like to engage my intellect and to think about and thus further the Common Progress. And I like Philosophy and this is the type of Socratic Dialogue that I like to engage into with my students and my colleagues alike…

And the reason WHY we should all be doing this is quite clear. Because it is very important for our rational and critical thinking, in order to create jobs and prosperity. And because only when we get into it and we break the Angel Investment process into the constituent parts, we can make correct informed decisions by staying fully informed and by intelligently determining our course of action and investment — we can successfully take fast actions for maximum gain with control and minimum risk exposure.

I think all of you can understand the value of that course of Investment philosophy and practice. And further think that each one of you now wants to engage with me in the changing of our daily investment practice towards the constant improvement and betterment of our own Life to guide us towards a better future self, and to help us reach and manifest fully, our own version of the American Dream and requisite wealth.

Isn’t that what Socrates promoted and strived for when he chose to enjoy his last few days by taking lessons in music and dance after he was assigned the death penalty?

We all live under a certain death penalty — yet methinks that we should enjoy every minute of our Life left and we ought to learn and improve ourselves constantly in order to better both our Lives and the life of the world around us.

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Death and Taxes are a certainty, and we ought to have the requisite nest egg to take care and pay for both. So if nothing else — learn to invest for these inevitabilities and you might come to realize gains far beyond the modicum of success, or well beyond what you want to leave behind for your children, your spouses, and your legacy.

Come then learn from me in one of my monthly meetings all around the world and especially in Seattle, in Silicon Valley, and Shanghai — if you have the chance…

And you are also invited herewith to join me, in order to find the Truth amongst the falsities. Come see True Entrepreneurship in action. Join my conversation in order to seek Veracity amidst the ruins of the Internet, and learn to discern the best and most profitable course of action for Angel Investor complex science and Life Sciences deals today.

Know what to do.

Join me here: http://www.meetup.com/AmericanAngels

Yours,

Dr Churchill

PS:

Although investor suitability surely comes into play, I think this is a philosophical question more than anything else.

And it surely is one question that CEOs, VCs, Finance brokers, CFOs, and marketing chiefs might want to consider deeply — before pitching certain companies on going the retail route for high street investment from the “poorly educated.”

So let us all remember, that crowdfunding, in state fundraising, and Reg A equity selling, all three — still have tremendous value & utility for sophisticated individuals, companies, and institutions — just not so much for the masses of young investors who don’t understand the meaning of risk capital out there.

Yet as we all know there is a whole lot of fish in the great blue sea out there.

And what I am simply doing here, is an attempt to teach you how to catch the utmost fish, because I want you to get into the habit of truly catching a lot of fish, for yourself, for your family, and for your legacy.

Because as you know — death is nigh, and the taxes are always upon us, and methinks, you best be well prepared for that eventuality.

So get out of your cave and come play with me…

The fish are biting, the weather is good, and the natives are friendly.

Especially the natives of the female persuasion.

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Posted by: Dr Pano Churchill | July 21, 2016

BREXIT TALKS

The Impact of BREXIT on the United States and the Special Relationship

Thursday, Jul 28, 2016, 6:00 PM

Columbia Tower Club
701 Fifth Avenue Columbia Center 76th Floor Seattle, WA

113 Churchillians Attending

Let’s talk BREXIT….BREXIT what is it good for?BREXIT and it’s impacts for the United States economy, security, and defense…BREXIT what is it good for?INDEPENDENCE.British Independence, from the Tyranny of an unelected and undemocratic Berlin & Brussels corrupt regime that has takes over the European Continent.Freedom from this autocratic …

Check out this Meetup →

Let’s talk about Economics, Politics, and the Law of Unintended Consequences, of BREXIT and the effects across the world.

#Brexit Is All About Taxation (and Regulation) Without Representation.

Taxation from Brussels and Faulty Leadership from Berlin without any Democratic input from our citizens.

That’s why leaving was a far better choice than staying put in a suffocating relationship.

This is what #Brexit Is All About: Taxation (and Regulation) Without Representation.

The High Cost of Indirect Taxation from the EU to the UK is a horrendous economic burden.

The cost of the U.K.’s EU club membership, so to speak, varies year-to-year, but it averages between 8 and 10 billion pounds—the equivalent of $11 billion and $14 billion—making the kingdom the third largest net contributor after Germany and France. But the costs don’t stop there.

Towering above the contribution to the EU’s budget are costs associated with the bloc’s endless regulations and all the agricultural stuff et al — in what I refer to as a heavy indirect taxation, without any representation.

According to Open Europe, a nonpartisan European policy think tank, the top 100 most expensive EU regulations set the U.K. back an annual 33.3 billion pounds, equivalent to $49 billion. This amount exceeds what the U.K. Treasury collects in Council Tax (a tax on domestic property) on an annual basis.

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Let’s talk BREXIT….

BREXIT what is it good for?

BREXIT and it’s impacts for the United States economy, security, and defense…

BREXIT what is it good for?

INDEPENDENCE.

British Independence, from the Tyranny of an unelected and undemocratic Berlin & Brussels corrupt regime that has takes over the European Continent.

Freedom from this autocratic regime that imposes on all Peoples of Europe a fascist system of undemocratic and corrupt “TAXATION WITHOUT REPRESENTATION”

BREXIT is the regaining of our LIBERTY, DEMOCRACY & INDEPENDENCE.

SIMPLE AS THAT…

The main Reason that Great Britain has been doggedly pursuing it’s own Independence is simply because the British People felt that they were faced with the imminent threat of Economic, Political, and National Cultural Extinction.

That sentiment encompasses the whole of the important main reason for the astounding results of the LEAVE campaign that brought to us the historic Independence movement that BREXIT represents and that the British people are celebrating today.

Everything else follows from that important sentiment.

And the fact that this Referendum was so upside down that confused everybody is an indication of this most important sentiment of the Citizens and the Voting public.

One of my takeaways from my last trip to England and the United Kingdom…

My visit convinced me that the Brexit debate was a lot nastier, uglier and corrosive than even I could have imagined.

We had a great conference at the Churchill Society inside London’s Chatham House, and the carefully arrived at takeaway — arrived at through fact based debate, reason, and the Science of Chaos & Complexity as well as Emergence theory — was that we are far better off, without the Brussels and the Berlin overlords.

We are far better without the German conceived fully undemocratic system of Brussels bureaucracy that we have come to know as: “Taxation without Representation.”

Yet this is what Brussels and Berlin still demand of us…

Many smart people and gifted politicians along with Scientists and citizens graced our podium, but none was nearly as eloquent a speaker as my friend Boris Johnson the London Mayor that recently stepped down to lead the Brexit campaign. He has also written a book about my grandfather Winston Churchill and about the Life of London that are sure to grace my library since he gave both of them to me as a gracious gift for my return to this great city…

Still for Politics, in the whole of the UK and especially in London, there seems to be an overwhelming leaning towards the “leave” camp. People are animated towards the idea of Free Britain and an Independent United Kingdom like never before, and are excited to experience this new moment in their Lifetimes.

My friend the old Mayor of London Boris Johnson paid us a visit at the Churchill Society conference and spoke eloquently and passionately about our need to be Free from the yoke of tyranny that Berlin & her minnie-me Brussels, and her minions have imposed upon the English people. We also spoke together at the Guildhall in favor of BREXIT in front of the Business and Merchant class of Leaders and we nailed it with this most difficult crowd of skeptical individualists… It was a glorious night.

Boris Johnson indeed led the communication effort and offered many many passionate speeches for the Brexit block, and he is credited with a big part of the Win. Today he is likely to be the next Prime Minister of the UK after the next national elections. Yet currently he was elevated to the position of Minister of Foreign Affairs upon the swift and celebratory win of the referendum for the LEAVE campaigners and after David Cameron stepped down and Theresa may became the new Prime Minister.

And the message of the overwhelming vote for BREXIT is that of course we are better off alone, yet it’s very likely for the results of this election to be contested by the regressive elements and the appeasers of Germany and the EU, and still the economic outcomes will be brilliant for the UK and maybe not so much for the EU. Still this is going to be a nasty divorce no matter how civil we attempt to be based on our being able to maintain our calmness, resolve, and composure.

Yet at the very least this will be a fantastic shock-test for the European Union, and also for the EURO coin, and maybe a bit for the G10 currency markets, and the Forex, and the Libor rates, all the way from the lead-up to and the aftermath of the vote, and for a few weeks thereafter. But because of renewed expectations of growth from the upset — the global markets will rally, and rally wildly and thus reach new heights for most indices. Smart investors ride the waves and this is not exception.

With all guns blazing the traders are aiming at the hapless EURO that stands to be assaulted and tested to the limits far more so than the British pound.

Much activity will ensue…

All the FX traders and Hedgies on the planet will swarm for some quick action, and as Mr Draghi and the ECB will be found “wanting” with their tiny “bazooka” in defense of the EUROzone — and surely the EUROstory will end up pearshaped, but there you have it.

Cheers,

Dr Churchill

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Posted by: Dr Pano Churchill | July 9, 2016

Life’s matter

Like all people we think a lot about death.

And of course we all think about Life.

Most of days we also think plenty about Sex.

And some days we only think of Love.

Yet most always we think and feel the Spirit…

So in that Spirit space of Compassion and Kindness let’s look at what we can do together to stem the bloodshed and the begotten violence that has poisoned our Society.

So let us think about Peace.

Let us think about reconciliation.

Let us think about kindness.

Let us think about Compassion.

And lastly, let think about Love…

Let’s think about Love and Death, and the Spirit and all the other things that come to mind every day – but today we shall think of all of them n the context of humility and grace in order to invite a clear understanding into our lives about the pivotal issue of race relations that bedevils our young country.

Almost one year ago, a young man Michael Brown was shot and killed in Ferguson, Mo for no particular reason…

And since then, many more people who were innocent have died in the hands of the Police.

As a fitting response, the collective anger and devastation of the black community has become a powerful national movement that brings massive numbers of people on the streets to demonstrate and peacefully assemble to discuss this tragic turn of events in our Lives…

Out of all that simmering collective anger the movement “Black Lives Matter” has been born and is now working to transform everything from social media to social consciousness — towards a new understanding of our Race and it’s gradients of value measured in color and social respect.

Because ultimately that’s all what this is all about.

And today at the CHurchill Society — we had a debate about whether it’s our job, and by extension the job of all social and political leaders — to coach white folks, and black folks alike without worrying about our deep feelings od racial insecurities. The whole point is that we white people should be the ones thinking more about black people — their feelings, their experience and their reality, which can be dramatically different than our own. But at the same time, we should put our feelings a little bit on hold so that we can defeat the structural racism that exists in Society because that ugliness we experience today and most days of wanton violence — won’t change until white people change.

There are already white people who want to change, and want to help spur change in their communities. Many people are reticent to speak out, for fear of misspeaking; others want to do something, but don’t know what to do. Instead of continuing to unconsciously reinforce structural racism in America, there are many white people who want to consciously help deconstruct and dismantle it. But how?

It is not up to Black Lives Matter, nor any movement led by and for communities of color, to make space for or articulate a vision for white people. The expectation that black leaders and movements should automatically do so is a subtle extension of the sort of white-centric entitlement that gives rise to the need for such movements in the first place. Then again, we haven’t exactly blazed a path to enlightenment and liberation so far on our own.

It’s too passive and doesn’t provide a sense of risk equal to the level of risks black folks experience every single day. Black folks are never safe, so it’s important for white co-conspirators or comrades to think about the level of comfort — safety — that is assumed to them by sitting on the sidelines and not actively engaging in the movement for black lives because it seems “too risky.” I want comrades who will show up when I’m most vulnerable and be in active solidarity with my struggle as a person in a black body and take some risks, because I’m putting my life out on the line every single day.

Be complicit in dismantling racist structures by taking risks, putting your bodies on the line in the streets, sharing access to resources (and releasing agency over them), living in some discomfort with difficult conversations in collaboration, knowing when to listen and organizing other white folks.

In St. Louis, we eradicated the word “allies.” We call our white folks our comrades. Because they’ve stood in front of and next to us when we asked them to. A living demonstration of white privilege is to see a line of white people handled by the police with kid gloves, who they carefully push past to brutalize us black folks.

Racism is an illness that afflicts each and every one of us. It steals our humanity, our capacity for empathy, the righteous indignation that is our birthright. I don’t believe in allies; I believe in the decolonizing power of solidarity. White people ought to challenge themselves to engage in more spaces of risk and difference.

Black people don’t need to be convinced that anti-black racism, structural inequity and skin privilege are facts; white people do… White people have to do the hard work of figuring out the best ways to educate themselves and each other about racism. And I don’t know what that looks like, because that is not my work, or the work of other black people, to figure out. In fact, the demand placed on black people to essentially teach white folk how not to be racist or complicit in structural racism is itself an exercise of willful ignorance and laziness.

You can’t be progressive and anti-black. The two are synonymous. But just because you have progressive politics doesn’t mean you’re not racist as hell, that you don’t think black people are less than; it doesn’t mean you have a racial analysis. Being progressive doesn’t give you a pass. You have to do the work within yourself if you’re going to be in this space.

Let’s expand what being progressive in America really means…

The conditions that are taking the lives of black and Latino communities with heart-shattering speed cannot be solved with economic solutions alone. A progressive movement that isn’t organizing to dismantle structural racism isn’t a progressive movement. It’s a movement of white middle-class self-interest, where white people on both sides of the aisle are fighting to retain white privilege in different ways.

Let’s stop saying all lives matter, because it doesn’t mean anything… And let’s truly understand why you shouldn’t say that. Whatever people need to do to understand why that’s not OK, they need to do that. What we’re saying right now is that all lives will actually matter when black lives matter — and black lives don’t matter right now. So we need to say black lives matter to change that. We need to change that individually, we need to change that within our communities and we need to change that systemically.

Today we must all move and get beyond just saying that Black Lives Matter… I want white people to do the work of pushing Democratic darlings to take more seriously the impact of structural racism…. Beyond saying #BlackLivesMatter, I want to hear more about what each of them will do to ensure a world where #BlackLivesMatter — and that means weighing in for an end to deportations and citizenship for all, fighting to end mass incarceration, ensuring that domestic workers have full rights in and outside of the workplace and on and on.

Let’s all right now stop acting like black people are stupid or that they can’t take care of themselves…

We are all politically savvy, and we can easily recognize that women have a higher voter turnout than men, and black women have an even higher turnout record that white women or for that matter — anyone else in this society…

Clearly today — no candidate can win without black women, yet a bunch of black women stood up and expressed their feelings on an issue that is literally killing our people and white people are acting like they were a bunch of uppity Negroes who didn’t know their place in society or in their homes.

These are young people who are learning as they go. Every movement has growing pains. I’ve seen too many people who are writing off their efforts because they don’t think the effort is being organized in the right way. That is not helpful. White allies need to give these young people space to grow, space to fail, space to learn. And they need to amplify their voices.

White liberals and progressives have a responsibility to organize their communities for social justice using an explicitly anti-black racism frame. There is no need to hide behind black or people of color organizations. Commit yourself to organizing poor and working class white folks. We are capable of organizing our communities. Our children need everyday white folks to work harder to ensure that black women don’t have to worry about dying after failing to signal properly, walking while transgender or trying to protect their children.

Yours,
Dr Churchill

PS:

Only white society and white people can save themselves from white supremacism and racism by opening up their heart and seeing things as they are…

Not as someone else tells them how things are.

Get your own Compass from your own Heart.

And get started on the journey towards healing the rift between races.

Get started on the road towards bridging the chasm that separates the people based on the color of their skin.

Get started on the road to healing and make sure that your vehicle on this great journey is your Compassion.

Get started and wherever you are in your journey with issues like these, and whether you’re someone who tries to live a life of racial consciousness on a daily basis, or you’re someone who has historically stayed out of conversations like this one because they’re just too intense – there’s room for you.

Everybody has room to grow.

God knows that and will help steer you in the right direction…

All it takes is remembering that race isn’t something that Black America gets to forget about – they live with it, they live in it, and it burdens them each and every hour of every day — all 24 hours of the day.

And all it takes is softening your heart to understand what it must be like to live in a country where someone who looks like you is shot down in the street on a far-too-regular basis, and then you have to listen to people debate whether or not that person deserved to die.

If nothing else, what you can do is sit for a second. Consider what it would be like to not be you. How the world could be a very different, scarier, and less safe place. How you have the opportunity to stand up for something here, and say definitively that you are ready to do your part, to learn, to listen. How this is a moment where humility and deep compassion need to drive our response of holy outrage. How this movement has already started, and we as White people need to just get on board.

Any little change you make in the way you talk about and/or perceive situations like this – that will make a difference. Changing your little corner of the world will make a difference. Not allowing people to make racially insensitive jokes just “because this is the South;” not accepting prejudice around you; not jumping to conclusions about who did and deserved what – all of that makes a difference. And a difference is what we need.

Because a human being breathed his last yesterday after being shot to death. In a parking lot. By a cop.

Because we have to find a way to make America everyone’s America.

Because now is the moment to lift your voice, regardless if you are White, Black, or Brown — let’s get together once again.

Let’s do this for ourselves, but most importantly let’s do this for America.

God Bless America.

 

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Posted by: Dr Pano Churchill | July 8, 2016

We are better than this…

THE WHITE HOUSE

President Obama: “We are better than this.”

Today, President Obama spoke on the fatal shootings of Alton Sterling and Philando Castile.

“I’d just ask folks to step back and think: What if this happened to somebody in your family? How would you feel? To be concerned about these issues is not political correctness, it’s just being American and wanting to live up to our best and highest ideals.”

If you haven’t yet, you should take some time to watch the President’s full remarks, or read them below.

President Obama’s remarks on the fatal shootings of Alton Sterling and Philando Castile

Good evening, everybody. I know we’ve been on a long flight, but given the extraordinary interest in the shootings that took place in Louisiana and Minnesota, I thought it would be important for me to address all of you directly.

And I want to begin by expressing my condolences for the families of Alton Sterling and Philando Castile.

As I said in the statement that I posted on Facebook, we have seen tragedies like this too many times. The Justice Department, I know, has opened a civil rights investigation in Baton Rouge. The governor of Minnesota, I understand, is calling for an investigation there, as well. As is my practice, given my institutional role, I can’t comment on the specific facts of these cases, and I have full confidence in the Justice Department’s ability to conduct a thorough and fair inquiry.

But what I can say is that all of us as Americans should be troubled by these shootings, because these are not isolated incidents. They’re symptomatic of a broader set of racial disparities that exist in our criminal justice system. And I just want to give people a few statistics to try to put in context why emotions are so raw around these issues.

According to various studies — not just one, but a wide range of studies that have been carried out over a number of years — African Americans are 30 percent more likely than whites to be pulled over. After being pulled over, African Americans and Hispanics are three times more likely to be searched. Last year, African Americans were shot by police at more than twice the rate of whites. African Americans are arrested at twice the rate of whites. African American defendants are 75 percent more likely to be charged with offenses carrying mandatory minimums. They receive sentences that are almost 10 percent longer than comparable whites arrested for the same crime.

So that if you add it all up, the African American and Hispanic population, who make up only 30 percent of the general population, make up more than half of the incarcerated population.

Now, these are facts. And when incidents like this occur, there’s a big chunk of our fellow citizenry that feels as if because of the color of their skin, they are not being treated the same. And that hurts. And that should trouble all of us. This is not just a black issue. It’s not just a Hispanic issue. This is an American issue that we should all care about. All fair-minded people should be concerned.

Now, let me just say we have extraordinary appreciation and respect for the vast majority of police officers who put their lives on the line to protect us every single day. They’ve got a dangerous job. It is a tough job. And as I’ve said before, they have a right to go home to their families, just like anybody else on the job. And there are going to be circumstances in which they’ve got to make split-second decisions. We understand that.

But when we see data that indicates disparities in how African Americans and Latinos may be treated in various jurisdictions around the country, then it’s incumbent on all of us to say, we can do better than this; we are better than this — and to not have it degenerate into the usual political scrum. We should be able to step back, reflect, and ask ourselves, what can we do better so that everybody feels as if they’re equal under the law?

Now, the good news is, is that there are practices we can institute that will make a difference. Last year, we put together a task force that was comprised of civil rights activists and community leaders, but also law enforcement officials — police captains, sheriffs. And they sat around a table and they looked at the data and they looked at best practices, and they came up with specific recommendations and steps that could ensure that the trust between communities and police departments were rebuilt and incidents like this would be less likely to occur.

And there are some jurisdictions out there that have adopted these recommendations. But there are a whole bunch that have not. And if anything good comes out of these tragedies, my hope is, is that communities around the country take a look and say, how can we implement these recommendations, and that the overwhelming majority of police officers who are doing a great job every single day, and are doing their job without regard to race, that they encourage their leadership and organizations that represent them to get behind these recommendations.

Because, ultimately, if you can rebuild trust between communities and the police departments that serve them, that helps us solve crime problems. That will make life easier for police officers. They will have more cooperation. They will be safer. They will be more likely to come home. So it would be good for crime-fighting and it will avert tragedy.

And I’m encouraged by the fact that the majority of leadership in police departments around the country recognize this. But change has been too slow and we have to have a greater sense of urgency about this.

I’m also encouraged, by the way, that we have bipartisan support for criminal justice reform working its way through Congress. It has stalled and lost some momentum over the last couple of months, in part because Congress is having difficulty, generally, moving legislation forward, and we’re in a political season. But there are people of goodwill on the Republican side and the Democratic side who I’ve seen want to try to get something done here. That, too, would help provide greater assurance across the country that those in power, those in authority are taking these issues seriously. So this should be a spur to action to get that done, to get that across the finish line. Because I know there are a lot of people who want to get it done.

Let me just make a couple of final comments. I mentioned in my Facebook statement that I hope we don’t fall into the typical patterns that occur after these kinds of incidents occur, where right away there’s a lot of political rhetoric and it starts dividing people instead of bringing folks together. To be concerned about these issues is not to be against law enforcement. There are times when these incidents occur, and you see protests and you see vigils. And I get letters — well-meaning letters sometimes — from law enforcement saying, how come we’re under attack? How come not as much emphasis is made when police officers are shot?

And so, to all of law enforcement, I want to be very clear: We know you have a tough job. We mourn those in uniform who are protecting us who lose their lives. On a regular basis, I have joined with families in front of Capitol Hill to commemorate the incredible heroism that they’ve displayed. I’ve hugged family members who’ve lost loved ones doing the right thing. I know how much it hurts. On a regular basis, we bring in those who’ve done heroic work in law enforcement, and have survived. Sometimes they’ve been injured. Sometimes they’ve risked their lives in remarkable ways. And we applaud them and appreciate them, because they’re doing a really tough job really well.

There is no contradiction between us supporting law enforcement — making sure they’ve got the equipment they need, making sure that their collective bargaining rights are recognized, making sure that they’re adequately staffed, making sure that they are respected, making sure their families are supported — and also saying that there are problems across our criminal justice system, there are biases — some conscious and unconscious — that have to be rooted out. That’s not an attack on law enforcement. That is reflective of the values that the vast majority of law enforcement bring to the job.

But I repeat: If communities are mistrustful of the police, that makes those law enforcement officers who are doing a great job and are doing the right thing, it makes their lives harder. So when people say “Black Lives Matter,” that doesn’t mean blue lives don’t matter; it just means all lives matter, but right now the big concern is the fact that the data shows black folks are more vulnerable to these kinds of incidents.

This isn’t a matter of us comparing the value of lives. This is recognizing that there is a particular burden that is being placed on a group of our fellow citizens. And we should care about that. We can’t dismiss it. We can’t dismiss it.

So let me just end by saying I actually, genuinely, truly believe that the vast majority of American people see this as a problem that we should all care about. And I would just ask those who question the sincerity or the legitimacy of protests and vigils and expressions of outrage, who somehow label those expressions of outrage as “political correctness,” I’d just ask folks to step back and think, what if this happened to somebody in your family? How would you feel?

To be concerned about these issues is not political correctness. It’s just being an American, and wanting to live up to our best and highest ideals. And it’s to recognize the reality that we’ve got some tough history and we haven’t gotten through all of that history yet. And we don’t expect that in my lifetime, maybe not in my children’s lifetime, that all the vestiges of that past will have been cured, will have been solved, but we can do better. People of goodwill can do better.

And doing better involves not just addressing potential bias in the criminal justice system. It’s recognizing that too often we’re asking police to man the barricades in communities that have been forgotten by all of us for way too long, in terms of substandard schools, and inadequate jobs, and a lack of opportunity.

We’ve got to tackle those things. We can do better. And I believe we will do better.

Thanks very much, everybody.

 

 

Posted by: Dr Pano Churchill | July 7, 2016

Ulysses

The thunder and the sunshine, are opposed ..
Free hearts, free foreheads—you and I are old;
Old age hath yet his honour and his toil;
Death closes all: but something ere the end,
Some work of noble note, may yet be done.
Not unbecoming men that strove with Gods.
The lights begin to twinkle from the rocks:
The long day wanes: the slow moon climbs: the deep
Moans round with many voices.
Come, my friends,
‘T is not too late to seek a newer world.
Push off, and sitting well in order smite
The sounding furrows; for my purpose holds
To sail beyond the sunset, and the baths
Of all the western stars, until I die.
It may be that the gulfs will wash us down:
It may be we shall touch the Happy Isles,
And see the great Achilles, whom we knew.
Tho’ much is taken, much abides; and tho’
We are not now that strength which in old days
Moved earth and heaven, that which we are, we are;
One equal temper of heroic hearts,
Made weak by time and fate, but strong in will
To strive, to seek, to find, and not to yield.
Yours,
Dr Churchill
PS:
Tennyson’s mastery will always keep me company in hard times and good times alike….

Dear Friend,

   Happy Independence Day.
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As a token of our Independence let’s help our friends across the pond, to gain a modicum of their own Independence as well. I am fairly certain you’ve heard of the LEAVE campaign that I fronted in the UK along with many other notables and of the Great Victory we won in what is now called euphemistically BREXIT but in reality represents the greatest boost to British trade, Independence, and Financial growth — in the last Hundred years.
Brexit is exactly that, and here is an Invitation to participate in a High level Think Tank discussion this July 28th in the Pacific Northwest’s Premiere Social Club “THE CHURCHILL SOCIETY” that holds this event at the venerable Columbia Tower Club of Seattle: http://www.clubcorp.com/Clubs/Columbia-Tower-Club/
 It is very fortunate that at the 28th of July during the best Summertime season for the Pacific Northwest — we have organized this Great Conference at the coolest venue in Seattle, where I will also Deliver my Speech and I want you to be there.
Here is the Information at the Churchill Society page to read all about it:
And here is the meeting list to place your RSVP:
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 Those of us who are active Fund Managers shall join me and next morning we’ll board my boat and have a sailing cruise in the Puget Sound for the day and sail to Port Townsend where we’ll spend the evening with a dinner celebration so next day we will drill down to discussing Financial Strategies in order to benefit from the upheaval to the Status Quo and the interruption to the placid bond and equities markets that is caused by BREXIT and it’s risible impacts and unintended consequences.
  We’ll certainly do  a lot of work that day and the next, but we’ll also enjoy fresh organic and wild seafood and the bounty of Nature from a well known young Chef, at the Victorian harbor town, where we’ll settle to enjoy all the charms and recuperation that the surrounding natural forested preserve can offer. This is a high intensity One Day Fund and Family Office Finance and Investment Conference, but of course there will be breaks and leisure time so that we can all partake of the various planned events and activities and also open times for improvised and unscheduled swims and suntanning on the beautiful beach off the main harbor over the next couple of days that most people will choose to stay over at one of the old Captain’s homesteads dating back to Victorian era when this little gem of town was the Commercial, Trade, Finance and Economic Capital of the Pacific Northwest.
  Yet going there to talk about BREXIT and our Special Relationship for a Common Economic destiny — let us remember that CHANGE is GOOD and if anything it is the Real Constant of our Universe and of our own Lives. So let us be the Contrarians and the Agents of Change that buck the tide of popular Media that consistently paints this momentous event in the History of Great Britain as a black swan.
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   Instead, let us be smart, and opt to go in the opposite direction of the mass of lemurs sleepwalking off the cliff in a Socialized European Continent, and let’s drive our Investments to the benefit of our Funds and Freedom, and thus support British Independence because this is not at all about Common Shared Prosperity in Europe but about a Naked Power Grub against the Free People of these Misty Isles…
   Today on this Independence Day Celebration — let us not forget that it was not bureaucrats and accountants that won this Freedom for us but rather Merchants and Men of Means, along with the People of Trades and Professions that saw the opportunity for Independence and courageously grabbed for it.
    We need the same kind of Leadership today on both sides of the pond and of this divisive debate that holds far too much in the balance.
      Looking Forward to seeing you all there.
                  Regards
        Dr Pano Kroko Churchill
CANDIDATE FOR THE UNITED STATES SENATE
   On behalf of the great State of Washington
                   www.senate.gov
Screen Shot 2016-06-23 at 10.44.09 PM
            TEACHER – ENTREPRENEUR
StartUp Weekend [Open Source], StartUpWashington [Org]
SeattleStartup [Org], Innovation StartUp Master Class, Tech
& Science Startups, Startups at the speed of Thought…
               VISIONARY LEADER
Our goal is to create Thousands of Great New Companies and Great New Jobs.
Join us to do this together because we can create many Thousands of Smart Jobs
through our Open Sourcing of Startup Weekend, our Startup Washington, and our
Entrepreneurship of Science, & Technology Innovation. Author of many books and
articles on both Leadership and StartUp Companies. Let’s get started…
CEO – ANGEL INVESTOR
               Evropa, Inc.
Venture Capital, Investment Banking, Angel Funds, for Early Stage Technology & Science
StartUps, Life Sciences, Medicine, Telecoms, FinTech, Internet, Mobile Apps, Media Cos, Debt Restructuring, Corporate Bond Tranches, International Commercial Paper, Mergers & Acquisitions, Turn Arounds, Restructures, ReStarts, Pivots, Carve Outs, Information Arbitrage, FX & Risk Hedges.
                   CEO
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Pharma for Advanced Cardiac Care
          www.wellheart.me
                   CHAIR
American Angels, American Venture Co, & Green Capital VC
                PRESIDENT
Churchill Society – International Affairs Think Tank
     www.ChurchillSociety.net
                JOURNALIST
Journalist at BEB, HuffPost, and BBC
               https://beb.mobi/
                  AUTHOR
Author of 27 Books on Leadership, StartUps, Physics, Politics, Economics & Life: 1) Brain Software, 2) Democracy, 3) Liberty, 4) Carbonomics, 5) Environmental Politics, 6) Climate Chaos, 7) Futurism, 8) The Pursuit of Happiness, 9) EUropean Mess, 10) Lincoln Caucus, 11) Republic & Responsibility, 12) Hack Health, 13) Democratize Medicine.
I pledge to protect and conserve the natural resources of our Earth. I promise to educate future generations so they may become caretakers of our water, air, land and wildlife. And I pledge to be working and serving for as long as I can for Ecological balance, a healthy Climate and a sustainable Environment for the planet and it’s people. Join us and stand with me.
Ten Panoisms for Leaders & Startups: http://wp.me/pcacD-2sl
My thoughts on European Federalism: http://wp.me/pcacD-2qW
My Modest Views on Modern Economics: http://wp.me/pcacD-2s3
Twitter: @panokroko
LinkedIn: Dr Pano Kroko Churchill
Skype: Dr Pano Kroko Churchill
Posted by: Dr Pano Churchill | July 6, 2016

Eid Al Fitr — Eid Mubarak

Screen Shot 2016-07-06 at 1.46.55 PMEid Al Fitr — Eid Mubarak

I am feeling rather Grateful Today…

Grateful because I had the chance to share my Story, my Vision, and my Hopes for Peaceful Coexistence, with the Muslim Community of Seattle in the wonderful State of Washington. I was given the opportunity to offer my thoughts and my sincere wishes at the conclusion of the annual religious celebration Eid Al Fitr, at the IMAN center in Kirkland on the shores of Lake Washington…

As it turns out this was a very significant and pivotal moment at the History of my Campaign too, and because I have got the endorsement of the various Interfaith Associations for Tolerance and of the faith communities for Peace — am eager to embrace more articles of unique faiths from across the globe than anyone else. Tall order but I believe achievable…

Today is the biggest Muslim Holiday for a couple of Billion people all around the World. And perhaps we should also remember that this is the best occasion to address the people of the Muslim faith and extend a hand of Love & Friendship, during the celebrations for the end of Ramadan at the time of EId al Fitr… because this is also the time of atonement of sins, forgiveness of wrongs and reconciliation. In short it is a Time for Peace.

And it is this very time that we want more of that. We want more Peace and Love during these troubled times. We want more Tolerance not less. We have been running on the fumes of toleration and we need to build up our Reserves f t all over again. And that’s why at this moment of Divine Peace and Love — I want to wish Eid Mubarak to all of our Muslim Brothers and Sisters making their home here in America and to all of those who have chosen Washington State as their home state. Yet I also want to wish Eid Mubarak to all those Muslim friends all around the world and especially to those local to the community of the I.M.A.N. center in Kirkland Washington.

I share this because this Community welcomed me today with open hearts and enjoyed my Message of Peace, Wisdom, and Tolerance during a time of global intolerance and incivility. And the contrast could not have been greater when the message from all other Politicians is one of Hate and Division in response to the wanton violence erupting all around us — yet I choose to speak of Love and Compassion and also choose to personally make amends and offer atonement for all of our mutual errors and betrayals of trust towards each other…

You know it’s days like this that I connect and share my heartfelt and anguished voice to the benefit of sharing my global experiences from the hotspots of Violence — and it was not different today because I spoke from the Heart about Love and Coexistence in a time of trials and hate from evil people who prefer to stir their witches’ brew of violence and hate instead of seeing our shared Humanity. And we see that there are people out there that find meaning in hatred and invest in death and bloodshed because their hearts are misguided and have lost their way falling for venomous teachers and thus become the serpents’ egg.

I spoke and said that we are all the Sons of Abraham and we best behave like it because otherwise we will end up like Cain and Abel killing each other… I spoke deeply and emotionally and instantly felt the warm embrace of the Community palpably return this Love and Respect to myself as a representative in a long tradition of Leaders who strove for Peace, Justice, and Respect for the better Angels of our Hearts. I am also that kind of Leader that shared the travails of Human Beings that long ago and for a long and difficult time they led their People towards Peace and yet were not afraid to tell the truth and also fight on the front lines for Justice and for the basic Human Rights of the People, always at the service of Democracy.

Am also grateful today to the inspiring Leaders of the Muslim Community of Seattle today, and to Mohamed Jawad Khaki for inviting me and for hosting this one of my famous Peace & Reconciliation talks on the occasion of the Muslim celebrations for the end of Ramadan the EId al-Fitr at his center the I.M.A.N. in Kirkland on the shores of Lake Washington…

Now I want to wish Eid Mubarak to all of my Muslim Friends around the world yet especially to the community of the I.M.A.N. center and to those in Washington State that welcomed me today with open hearts and heard my Message of Peace, Wisdom, and Tolerance in a time of atonement.

A Great Thank you to all who were there and made this possible and those who enjoyed my Talks, so much so, that they invited me to have an evening Dialogue in this amazingly Open & Tolerant Muslim Kirkland gathering, the IMAN Center.

We will reconvene there, on the 15th for a proper series of talks and discussions again with the Leader Mohammed Jawad Khaki and yours truly, Dr Churchill.

Eid Mubarak to You, and all, and today I dare to hope that the Shia people and their Sunni brothers, will come along with the Christians, and the Jews – so that all the children of Abraham can finally feel at home in our ravaged Planet. I believe that if we invest in remembering our commonly held Parents coming down through the Ages of History in a long and halting lineage of great people — maybe just maybe — we will overcome the hate and replace it with Love, even if for just one day…

That is why I want to offer my wishes for a Commonly held Peace and Prosperity to One and All, to both Muslim and Christians and Jews, and to all others too — on this momentous Holiday.

I offer cheers to all who were at the IMAN Center, and enjoyed my Talks so much so, that I was invited to have an evening Dialogue in this amazing IMAN Center, on the 15th for a proper series of talks and discussions with the Leader Mohammed Jawad Khaki and yours truly, Dr Churchill.

Humbled…

God Bless You all.

Eid Mubarak and God Bless America.

Yours,

Dr Churchill

PS:

Please accept my wishes for Commonly held Peace and Prosperity to One and All.

Accept my Compassion and my Kindness for our shared Humanity and offer a prayer for our Common Father Abraham that so long ago directed us to Love and Respect one another.

Let’s do this as an effort for Peace on this momentous Holiday.

Posted by: Dr Pano Churchill | June 28, 2016

What would Winston do? QUO VADIS?

Recently I gave a speech at the Guildhall in London in front of the assembled Greats of the Merchant class, the leaders of Industry and Finance, young and old, wealthy and powerful, Tories, and Labour, City Traders and Bankers, Political and Non political, some politicians, and many retired Leaders and Captains of Business and Industry. In short, I spoke to the top of the Merchant class…

And what I simply spoke about in this august temple of ancient Democracy, on this pivotal last day before the “Leave” or “Remain” referendum was to be cast in stone, as in the ballot box — was what my Grandfather would do. In short what would the vote of Winston Churchill be, if he had the chance to weigh on the issues, and to be casting a ballot in the polls, of this decisive referendum…

So this is what I spoke and shared with the Great and Good people of the City of London in answer to the question: “What Would Winston Do?”

With Great Britain at the edges of the European Union we have a unique opportunity to see things clearly before we make a hasty move sidewise. We need to be bold and make progress. Real Progress that we can be proud of. Progress for our People and for the Peoples of Europe. Because history has given us again the mantle of Leadership to lead an enslaved continent out of the bondage of economic tyranny and poverty of thought.

In the long future of Free People to come, this period in time will be celebrated as another Era of Enlightenment all over again. And this moment of Liberty is the spark for this whole era to begin. But before we get there we have lots of battles to fight, because once again we are called to offer our Blood, Sweat, and Tears for our Freedom and for the Freedom of our continental neighbours and allies.

But where do we go from here…

I was inspired and clearly in communication with “Spirito Santo” and correctly called the win of the “LEAVE” campaign that night. I called the VICTORY and spoke as if I am speaking the day after the glorious win of Divine Deliverance of a Free United Kingdom.

But then it was still a solemn night and yet the most inspiring one of my entire life standing in front of the Masters and Apprentices, within this ancient hall of the old English Guilds, where I was inspired by the certainty that I knew what the AngloSaxon soul wanted. And right there I chose to bring Liberty to bear, to help me guide them all to seek Victory and Freedom today through the ballot box, instead of having to go fight for it and receive it through the muzzle of the gun tomorrow.

But I was also raised at the podium, by simply channeling the determination of all the people I had met during those hard working days of the Leave Campaign in London, and that is what I delivered.

The strength of the campaign was such, that I felt heartened and certain of our victory — regardless of the manufactured Media polls, and the fear mongering propaganda, that were all commissioned by the Brussels bureaucrats and their Berlin overlords.

And that is why at that moment I said that our Victory is assured as a counter balance to this campaign of terror. So I said: Allow me to speak now, as if we are today living on the day after the polls had closed and had been counted and we found that we had won our Liberty all over again. Let me speak tonight as if we are already there. As if we have arrived at the promised land and we only need to cherish our hard won Freedom and celebrate. Let us all close our eyes and imagine that moment together and let’s be jubilant now, because we’ve got our own LIBERTY and self determination back, and we wrestled our DEMOCRACY to ourselves, all over again. Let us celebrate that we stole our Liberty back, from those unelected bureaucrats and from their gray overlords of Europe who had stolen it through hook and crook and insidious dealings, slowly but surely, over the last forty years.

That night at the Guildhall, I spoke from the future — so to speak — in order to force this vision of this Future Victory into the minds of all the Great people in the audience. It is a technique useful in improving our Brain Software, by installing this idea into the Brains of people and thus allowing the Future to be plausible to us today. And this exercise helps us to experience this benevolent future without fear and without surprise, as something that has already come to pass… And if we already “experience” the feeling of having won the “LEAVE” campaign, then there is no surprise and people can go to the polls the next day without any fear and cast their ballot the way their heart felt and their mind commanded.

This is an ancient rhetorical method our grandfather Winston Churchill employed often during the hard days and nights of the great patriotic war against the Nazis, even when the bombs were falling nightly from the skies above our heads in London. And that method of ancient Demosthenian oratory, was successfully used to rally the British People, by sharing with them the vision of a Great Future. That Vision is what guided them to fight steadfast and in turn they were willing to fight all the way into Europe to not only get their Freedom but to deliver Freedom to all the other enslaved nations there.

And this time we will not do a half ass job either. We will win Victory for all the Europeans because people are motivated to go to the land of Milk and Honey only if there is Moses at the helm to show them the way. And rhetoric is the way to share a Great Vision of the Ideals of Liberty and Democracy. Then and only then, the people are able and willing to withstand the hardships and privations that will inevitably be part of the great journey this march to Freedom entails. And this is what I was able to do the night before the vote in this great hall of the Merchant class, where they all met to discuss issues of Democracy since the early 12th century.

And as a seasoned Speaker — I simply spoke as if I am coming from the Future to deliver a great vision. A bit of a political prophet for a few hours if you will, speaking of a few days forward. And that way I brought the people forward with me, sharing a momentary postcard of the “feelings” of VICTORY and the jubilation of the LEAVE campaign, that allows us to exit the Euro-prison for good. And then I spoke with great feeling and reverence about our ideals, and invited them to come to this “Future” and truly be there with me, and to visit this New Great Britain as FREE people. I simply said: “Let’s all together visit this “Future Britain” and experience the joy of Freedom once again, and the great Future of our misty island nation.”

And I asked everyone to close their eyes and come along with me in this flight of fancy for a “view” of the future uplands…

And that is the moment I knew I had them. That is the moment everybody loved, and that is when they all started smiling with closed eyes. I did this because I know that people will follow you to Paradise and to a Great Dream as Martin Luther King promised. And I wanted to contrast this Great Future not in paradise parlance, but in the language of pragmatic politics of what we can achieve from here on out, when we are again free and unfettered from interference of the unimaginative gray people imprisoned in jails of their own making…

In short I managed through oratory to show them the City of Light. I brought all of them out of the valleys of despair and gloom to a Free London, brilliantly girded with lights, as it sits crowned up on the hill, festooned with flags and banners, and with music wafting everywhere celebratory jubilant crowds gather to dance, drink, and make merry.

That is the future I spoke of.

A great celebration.

A time of Jubilee.

A future that people want to be part of.

Do you understand that?

You see I speak to help people go forward. I speak in order to free them from the fears and paranoia that the Berlin based “REMAIN” campaign and all their Media had spent Billions of Pounds Sterling, in order to sow fear, uncertainty, and doubt, in the British psyche and to conquer the timid souls, and the weaklings, all across Britain and the United Kingdom.

Yet as a serious and able Public Speaker — I was able to dissuade and allay all the fears by showing them the Future in all it’s GLORY. A Brilliant Future to come after we had all voted to “LEAVE” in tomorrow’s Referendum.

And the people loved it so much that old fogies, stiff upper lip and all — teared up and started crying for joy.

They unleashed their emotions, and that’s when I knew that we had won.

This early victory came to us straight from heaven and the people understood that we just had to channel it without fear.

A thunderous applause followed my rhetorical exercise of sharing this brilliant future, as a mental image of the Free People of Great Britain celebrating their Victory.

….

And after a long silence we all knew where these leaders of people will place their Vote when the polls opened.

And it was clearly evident what vote they will advocate to their families and friends, to their employees and dependents, to their club mates and to their children.

Old Winnie would have been rather happy right about now…

We were all highly emotional and charged so I needed to take advantage of this moment to lead further change.

So the next question I went on to answer was this:

Quo Vadis?

Where do we go?

Where do we go from here?

With BREXIT indelibly written in the Books of History and on the soul of every person living in Great Britain, in the United Kingdom, inside the Commonwealth as well as outside, everywhere the English speaking persons on this planet reside — we should now simply have a conversation and decide collectively which way to go…

We are now and only for a brief moment, the blessed outsider who was once an insider that now commands the vantage point that affords the mile high view of the devastation that Europe is today. We are the lucky ones who can see things clearly because we stepped out. It is the same as when you step out of a meeting to clear your head. Same as in any meeting of a tightly bound organization where some people who serve as the core team — cannot take a breather and step outside of the room for a think, or for a breath of fresh air, or to drink water, or even to steal a moment for a cigie smoke, like President Obama often does when he needs to escape the worries of the oval office of the White House.

These bathroom breaks make us smarter as being both outsiders and insiders who happen to be in the rooms where the decisions are made, yet suddenly we become rather valuable as outsiders and benevolent critics. We become the breath of fresh air when for a moment we step back inside. And this only happens because we escaped the Groupthink of the Insider Core-Team delusion. England, for example, is now both at the core of the European Union, and on the outside looking in, and that makes her perspective rather valuable since nobody else has that privileged view.

Yet this a temporary boon, because soon enough we’ll be the outsiders, who used to be insiders and still have a special relationship with the place like past employees who come to the Christmas party uninvited and unannounced, and when they get the “message” they start lobbying hard for their past privileges or start sowing discord amongst other newbies, and oldies, who are vexed, disillusioned, or dissatisfied by the internal power struggles, misplaced loyalties, skewed reward systems, and in general they try to take over from outside the current conversation and agenda. And in that function the outside insiders, actually help mightily the process of finding wisdom for all, and liberating the Group from groupthink and tunnel vision tragic errors.

And of course the Core Team of the EU, the German Overlords, and the hundreds of thousands of EU dependents in Brussels and in all the European capitals, will fight us to the death, because on the opposite side of England today, sit the EUROpean Union stalwarts, made up of deeply invested corporate insiders who never ventured outside the box their masters threw them in. And these are gray bureaucrats like the central planners of Europe all closeted in Brussels, and at the European Central Bank in Frankfurt, along with the puppet EUROpean nominal national leaders, those PMs all of whom are seen huddling with their secret, and not so secret overlords in Berlin and Brussels respectively. That’s where the puppet masters live, and that is where the puppets make the pilgrimage to take direction, dictation, and the “means” of driving their people like old time slaves to become “willing” fodder for the austerity machine of “Germania Uber Alles”

And these puppets are all the so called Transactional National Leaders, Technocrats, and Bureaucrats, who are quite aware that under their command, and during their watch — a historically unprecedented economic dislocation has taken place within the EU during the past ten years, that includes massive asset and property bubbles, banking crises, massive wealth transfer to the top 1% of the Society, and large-scale unemployment. This massive unemployment is pronounced in all the periphery countries – with over 50% youth unemployment in Greece, Spain and Portugal, as well as the lack of any serious controls of the EU external borders to prevent an influx of unparalleled numbers of illegal immigrants and economic migrants.

However, the same EU central planners who oversaw this disaster — are in complete denial about the fact that these problems have been caused entirely by their own misguided and disastrous policies. As a result, they argue that the solution to such problems can only be further concentration of powers into their hands … This United States of Europe, an undemocratic leviathan that the European Peoples never wanted, is the culmination of the much repeated mantra of “ever closer union”.

And that is a faulty wiring in their head, because they don’t understand that there’s also a third position in any community or organization, like the EUropean Union. The position of those who are at the edge of the inside and have the privileged view always. These people are within the organization, but they’re not subsumed by the group think, and are not beholden to the fractious games people play. These folks or groups of people, or even whole Peoples — function and work best at the edges of the system. They are always better at synthesizing and creating at the boundaries, creating network effects, building bridges, synthesizing solutions, and causing entryways to appear where there was none.

Great Britain has always behaved best and played her top game, like this on the edges of the inside, taking up this third position on the edges of any assembly of nations, and of any alliance that she’s ever been part of…

I posit the Theorem that this was the case even when at her most glorious she stood as the head of the Commonwealth, that was her own Empire in the making.

The point is that nations that live at the edge of the inside of core teams, firm alliances, and strongly cemented assemblages — not only have crucial roles to play, but are vastly beneficial to the core teams, and to each other when in association with them. Mercantile empires are thus created. That is the essence of Great Britain. We need to trade with all and sundry and choose to do it at our own terms and we will have no petty Brussels and Berlin bureaucrat, telling us not to do it, why to do it, or even how to do it.

As the early Americans soon found out, when you live on the edge of any group, you are free from its central seductions, but you are also free to hear its core message in very new and creative ways, and thus you can understand events better, grasp opportunities, and consequently map your own charts, plot your own course, and draft your own destiny, regardless of the course of actions and stimulations that your “Core Team” group might think necessary to strictly define as their own events in the course of history. And that why they had a tea party and decide to split from King George and his moronic rule… and to find their Freedom loving Republic with Democracy and not Monarchy as the pivot of power.

Screen Shot 2016-06-28 at 3.01.07 PM

And that is why it’s called Freedom. That is what the English people today understand intimately, being unconquered and running a Parliamentary Democracy for a Thousand years, and that is what the Framers of the Constitution of these United States also understood when they cautioned the future Americans to make No Long Term Alliances with none, but to freely Trade with All nations of the globe, so to avoid fatal encumbrances.

It is truly a testament to the enduring value of this wisdom for free trading nations that a People at the edge of “Core Team of the EU” can see what’s good about the group, what’s bad about the group, and also what’s good and bad about the other Peoples out there, and even more about the rival groups. Because it is good to say to them once in a while like Casus said to Brutus: “It is not the fault of our Stars but it is the fault with ourselves”

And what I am saying is that a great nation has to know how to move between these variable and always shifting positions, because a People at the edge of the EUROgroup, can be the strongest reformer of all inside the group, and for that their value is unassailable. These People, have the loyalty of a faithful insider but they also maintain the proper distance that affords the correct judgment, the critical outsider can bring to bear. And that unique perspective speaks volumes in the current debate about which way Europe and Great Britain ought to go.

Great Britain and the United Kingdom always had an authentic inner experience of what it meant to be this pioneering seafaring and Democratic, Freedom loving People. This love of Freedom is what allowed us to also built America from the values we learned from England, applied in the New World — when old Blightey failed us. We could be utterly relentless in bringing America back closer to ourselves precisely because our devotion to Old English ideals was so fervent, but we lost the chance when we deligitimized ourselves and the effort…: “Taxation without Representation”

Sounds familiar?

Now it is the turn of the English island people to fight against the Tyrants dressed as bureaucrats and technocrats from Brussels & Berlin, because we cannot stand another moment of “TAXATION WITHOUT REPRESENTATION”

America developed amazingly well, borrowing the same principles that we forgot for the last fourty years, when we allowed others to drift from our Destiny, forgetting that the People on the edge of the EU-core, know best how to take advantage of the standards and practices of the European organization (pick&choose) but should not be imprisoned by them.
And we shall similarly do well too.

And in this instance of BREXIT we have learned the EUropean Union rules well enough to know how to break the rules properly, and how to escape the bondage that the German Rule Keepers sought to enforce. Our position was not to really break them at all, but to find their true purpose, and when we found out that there is No Purpose to the EU, except domination and subordination of the European Peoples by the resurgent Huns — we sought to abolish the unjust Union. And History will reward us for this mightily as the defendants of Liberty for all of Europe.

But the Germans and the Collaborators across Europe have already fighting us with Psychological operations and espionage along with Sabotage and undermining of our Currency and Commercial credit. Seeing as we have taken a beating in the value of Sterling, and commercial paper along with the downgrade of our Credit rating we can see the fingers of the ECB and the Deutche Bank behind all of these moves — in a dastardly effort to break the will of the English people and like they did with the Greeks, to make us alter our resolve and turn the “LEAVE” vote to a “maybe another time” policy, or even God Forbid, to a “REMAIN” course of action…

They did this to the Greek people when they shuttered the Greek Banks after the people of Greece voted overwhelmingly to leave the Austerity European Union with a 62% majority, and yet the German Junta forced their puppets, including the Greek PM Tsipras, and the Minister of Economics Varoufakis, and the rest of the Ministers from SYRIZA party to a complete turnabout a political surrender and a horrible repudiation of Democracy. As a result of that popular referendum, that was repudiated by the self destructive actions of the puppet Greek leadership, that has been documented as having been bought, and brought to power with German gold — the Greek people today suffer the worst Economic Depression since time begun, and yet they still maintain and enforce a policy of severe and catastrophic Austerity with families being fed rubbish from the trash bins every day. Yet in my mind it serves them right for having that kind of storebought puppets as leaders, instead of heroic champions of Independence and National Dignity.

So we need to be prepared to suffer through some of that as the first skirmishes of an undeclared economic war, that is evidenced by the sabotage of our Economy through the subterfuge and the criminal Blitzkrieg that the German Economic War machine has launched against Great Britain and the United Kingdom since the Victorious BREXIT vote took hold. And above all else we need to select New leaders that are True Transformational Leaders and not transactional little leaders like little Davey the resident leader of “REMAINIA”

And I am really speaking here to anyone who can still hear, and who can clearly see Europe for what it truly is today. A vast prison and a shrinking continent acting as a German lake to dump their commercial output and draw surpluses from. Am saying this in full confidence that the people of Trades, Professions, and Services here at the Guildhall tonight, understand this well enough. And that is because we’ve seen what the Germans and their Allies did to the Greeks these last few years because they also dared to seek their Independence but were decapitated and lost without leaders. Their guilds, their trade unions, their services and professions, were all duped into getting to power weaklings that roared like lions spending the German Gold to get themselves elected and then betraying the very People that brought them to power in the first instance.

Having seen this drama played out many times before — we need to be prepared for the very insidious and unfair economic warfare that has been launched against our shores. A German attack against our currency, against our values, against our Credit is imminent as soon as the Victory of the “LEAVE” campaign arrives, and we need to be ready to fight and repulse it.

But we don’t mind. We don’t scare easy. We know how to fight and we will unleash our inner dragon to assist us, because with St George and the Dragon, along with our Victorious Spirit, we will defeat this serpentine enemy. The serpent’s egg from 70 years ago has spawn this current crop of Nazis and we have to take them on once again.

And fight we will…

We will fight them on the Banks. We will fight them on the Stock Exchanges. We will fight them on the Equities markets. We will fight them on the FOREX floors. We will fight them on the Bond Markets, and everywhere where there is value to be gained. We shall not give up a single Sterling without a fight and in time we’ll beat back the Huns at every turn. But we will never surrender. We will not succumb to the enemy. And if need be, we will fight them with our hands and our weapons. We will fight them with our cybermachines, and will fight them with our arsenal and with our navy. We will never surrender. We will win this fight and we will come out the other side better than before.

It is in our DNA to be great warriors, and inventive fighters and we also have great reason to fight because we want to be FREE. And because we’ve seen what happened to those people that chose to go quietly into the German night. We’ve seen the devastation that has been brought to Spain, Portugal, Ireland, Greece, and so many others — so that the Berliners can eat cake and drink their golden snaps celebrating themselves as Masters of the Universe do.

We will fight to the death because we shall never become slaves like the modern Greek-lite traitorious leaders of that ancient and brave country allowed themselves and their people to become… since they chose not to fight.

This is a simple choice, between Freedom or Death. Either way we WIN. We will truly continue to fight to win the Freedom of all the other Europeans who are now watching to see which way this fight goes, sitting on the proverbial fence.

We will fight for all of Europe.

We will inevitably have to win all of Europe, because as People on the edge of Europe, both geographically and spiritually, we are involved in the winds of constant change.

And we know from long battle experience that when you strike at the “King” you best finish him off, or she will come back at you with all she can muster. And the same goes for the snake that seeks to strangle you or poison you with her deadly bite. You must decapitate the snake to render it harmless.

As the Freedom fighters from the outside of Europe we shall fight to liberate all those inside the vast prison Europe has now become. It is our duty, to step in the breach and help the Slaves of the system, who are so deep inside the prison-cave that they are totally confused and disoriented by the lack of light, by the minutia and the trivialities, by the prison rules and the jail warden’s petty regulations, and the prisoner processes, and all that rubbish that is designed to keep the convicts eternally busy, playing the game of snakes and ladders and not going anywhere — except staying locked into the jail’s status quo. A Status Quo that knows how to wear down whole nations and keep them in line working at the chain gang. Europe is that vast jail-cave now under the German boot of efficiency, and away from the cathartic light of day — and in time we will all be called to fight the snake and “kill” the king in order to liberate the Continent all over again.

That is WHY as English people we should remain fierce in our resolve to LEAVE and FIGHT ON, immediately while the Economic War is on, because instead of being the outsiders who are throwing bombs and dreaming of far-off transformational revolutions — we are fast becoming passive observers seeing the constant incoming bombs as the comings and goings of the community, instead of as Acts of War.

That is the danger of Conditioning, and we have to accept that we are now involved in a process of transformation, not as pawns, or prisoners of a “EUROLAND” system of conformity and efficiency — but as Free People and Masters of our own Destiny.

And to do that we must fight because this war is a war of attrition and we must keep on moving in the right direction. There is no fear but fear itself. Our Economy will be just fine. Our Sterling will be even better than before even after the shellacking that it has received in the coordinated hands of the FOREX departments of the ECB and the Deutche Bank, along with Dr Schauble, both wanting to increase the political costs to the United Kingdom, along with sowing the germs of fear, doubt, and uncertainty amongst the electorate of the English people. But we all know all that. And we also know that our Economy will be far better Outside the faulty European Union. And the cheaper Sterling will make our Exports go further and we’ll be selling far more abroad. Surely we won’t be buying too many Mercedes and Beemmers, or VWs, and that’s fine because we can buy the motorcars we manufacture locally, and thus help the local economy further produce great quality and design. So our overall economy will improve because economic growth and national income are almost entirely determined by a factor that is decided at home — namely the amount of bank credit created for productive purposes and the commerce and trade of the manufactured products and services that result out of the productive activities we undertake. We get our banks to fund our own factories, our own software shops, our own businesses, our own energy, our own Innovations, and our own international trade, and we all win. Industry and Commerce will thrive again. Under the despicable management of our affairs under the European Union rules, this locally spent bank credit has almost dried up, or at least it has sadly been very small, inside the UK in recent decades, thus much greater economic growth is possible and quite probable as soon as the proper steps are taken to boost our homeland bank credit for productive purposes within our borders and not for daft ventures like the Canadian Tar Sands, or the German Desert Tec projects, or in financialization moves in risky derivatives of packages of shite, far and away…

Thus the disastrous and fearful argument of immeasurable political costs and dire economic consequences because of Brexit, is totally and irrefutably bogus.

As for the the question of the size of the impact on our GDP from entry to, or from exit from the EU, or the eurozone, it has been studied carefully from the Bank of England under advanced quantitative analysis, and has been found to be negligible. The conclusion is that this makes no difference to economic growth, and everyone who claims the opposite is not guided by the facts.

And unlike the Greek banks, our Banks and Financial institutions are all set for the assault because we expected as much from our German brother, and the Bank of England run these scenarios and prepared us for these eventualities. We were forewarned by the fate that befallen the Greeks and thus we were prepared for the assault of the Undemocratic European leviathan. Sadly our German friends are just Binary machines, like the soldiers of the Empire in Star Wars and are utterly predictable in these Economic Wars and Domination Games.

But having made the Liberation of Europe a binary Zero Sum game now we must play to win it for all the other ones too. This is going to be far more fun than playing the Footie at the World Cup games.

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So please do not begrudge our LIBERTY but go get the modicum of yours.

Go get your own Liberty…

It’s a far tastier treat than any good Ice Cream you might have tasted in your entire Life.

This is what I have to say to all of my European colleagues and friends who are bombarding me about my views on the BREXIT situation and asking me as to where we go from here?

Quo Vadis?

Where do we go?

Clearly the English are more interested in being Searchers, Seafarers, Pioneers, Explorers, and Mavericks, than being a nation of agriculturalists and multigenerational settlers, prisoners of their diminished horizons.

As constant travelers and political outsiders we are threatened by those building barriers and regulating the living daylights of everything. Because a People on the edge of the ‘Core” a true outsider/insider neither idolizes the group and their groupthink, nor demonizes the outsiders. And only such People can see the different groups as partners in a reality that is both paradoxical, and complementary as well as fast unfolding in unfettered evolution.

And after the BREXIT vote we all found out that the jubilation was met with rebuttals and fusillades from the “Settlers” and the prisoners, who very much like those chained on the walls of Plato’s Cave — they hate and begrudge the Freedom of others, and wish to kill them rather than admit that Liberty and Freedom is possible for all of us.

Yes, there are downsides to being at the edge of “THE CORE TEAM” as an outsider, and being Free is a hustle. You’ll have to walk alone and be happy with it. But you also might encounter the People who are Free like you and can have Free Association and make partnerships at will. Sure, the trolls and the haters will hate you because they are jealous bitches. Look at the internet flaming wars already coming from the german slaves of all political stripes that try to paint BREXIT as some kind of racist expression instead of the LIBERTY for all vote that is and it truly represents. Weak people and bureaucrats attached to a dying status quo will attack you because they hate your Freedom and know they can never have it being chained to the machine. And still some errant souls will even seek “rent” and even want to make you pay for the Freedom that you earned yourself.

We need to deploy some well chosen missives of British humour against these daft silly folk, and we will make an arrangement through the Ministry of Silly Walks, to get them to walk again the goose-step under the Wagnerian muse.

Now picture that.

Picture that, and still try to manage to stay calm, while laughing at their faces, because that’s when the bullies melt away. But yourself, you stay your ground, you keep strong and steadfast because you can never lose. One can never lose, when fully committed to the cause of Liberty and Democracy. You may be disrespected and defriended, but you were not loved in the first place, anyway — so don’t bother. As a matter of fact the People that are completely stuck at the core-team of the EU, are the most afraid of all, and will be the last to gain their freedom after everyone else abandons them. They are so invested into this sinking ship called Europe that they just might go down with it.

But the English People know and understand the sea, and they know when to leave a sinking ship, in order to live and fight another day. We are Mariners and as such we always enjoy the salty breeze that fills our sails, but not the watery grave. Same as we love the pure air of the Highlands, the clean water of the unspoiled streams, and the distant view of the outside world but not the rocky soil that makes graves of fallen soldiers hard.

We love to look at the endless sea without Horizons besides the disappearing point that bleeds the sea into the sky. And now we have set our compass to sail FREE. We now can sail freely wherever we want free from rules and regulations made against our Liberty.

But we also feel for the poor People imprisoned on the inside of the European Union today, and we know that as leaders, we must help them see the light of day inside their dark cave prison, because today they cannot even see their horrendous reality — let alone entertain thought of Liberation. And much like the prisoners facing the wall inside the “Socrates Cave Paradox” these European Union insiders, leaders & Citizens alike, tend to think in strict dualistic terms: “Our Core-Team versus Them. We are Good – They are bad. It’s either this or that. Friends and Enemies. They have lost the nuances and the gradations of life. They have lost their humour and rebellion has gone out of fashion under the unsmiling gray that has fallen all over their heads obscuring the very light of day.

And you can’t blame them, when all the European Media is owned by the German Banks directly and indirectly, and all the European Prime Ministers are owned, bought and paid for, or appointed by Berlin. As a matter of fact the transparency organizations AJ4FD, Transparency International, and Greek Oxygen, all have evidence of the wholesale Corruption of the Political Class of Greece and of the wider Europe through the use of German “Gold.” And that doesn’t stop there because the rapacious Germans have also bought up all the Media of Europe and thus control the information flow of propaganda, ideas, and knowledge. And they are doing it rather well.

Of course this is a Repetition of History, and we know how to play that game too and how to respond because the past always gets repeated, albeit in a slightly different way.

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For those of you who might remember your Oxford history books, you can reread the book “Anabasis” by Xenophon, to see what the Ancient Greeks did when the Persian Host decapitated their Leadership, and how different that lot was, from today’s soft and docile enslaved mini-greeks.

Same goes for all the nations of Europe that shiver and shift exposed to the frozen death winds of Teutonic breath; unprotected without the cloak of Strong Leadership, but having only traitors, and German puppets at the helm of their ship of state. That is how the people of Europe are kept in the worst type of bondage — the mental kind. They are slowly cooked like the French boil their frogs, and are conditioned by their Media and their sold out leaders to the belief that they are chained to invisible caves of the mind, with the invisible chains of despondency and depression. The chains of the Mind are the worst kind. The European Nations have all been relegated to living inside the dark cave of the mind that Socrates and Plato described in the “Cave paradox” and this is what the EUropean Union has become for all 500 million people of this ancient continent.

Methinks it’s time to awake. It’s time to be Liberated once again. But first you must grow a pair… because you need cojones of steel and the Courage of the Ages to fight the enemy headlong. Otherwise just stay riveted in front of the TV and get to learn the outcome of the battles from the Telly.

But the Ones who have the HEart and can muster the Courage and who are awake enough to see — this invitation will resonate.

Come Join me… and fight for the cause of Freedom.

Let’s disrupt the German War Machine once again.

Let the play of Light and Darkness commence…

Because we all know that before sunrise — we stir. And in the early twilight, some of us have the capacity to awake with brilliant thoughts of Free Will. And in that space between dream and sleepy wakefulness, that is the beginning of wisdom. That is the true moment of realization about our station in Life. And that is where we can find our will to fight the sadness of our inability to fight the European Overlords, and their tendency to be inimical to Freedom. As a matter of fact that is the moment of No Illusion, and your memory of Liberty can come from the very memory of that moment kept alive throughout your day.

Today as it has always been the case of the European people it is the choice of first becoming aware and awake to the fact that you need to fight the natural tendency to belong to the group, in order to avoid the vicious evils of GroupThink and the bondage of Austerity.

You must try it sometime. Because to be Free you ought to become AWAKE in the mindscape of Freedom.

First You think FREE, then you become FREE.

Still with BREXIT much of this has changed already…

Movement of Ideas, People, and Migration routes across the EU will also change, both because the internal EU rules on mobility will no longer apply, and because mass emigration from Europe is a symptom of the EU’s vast failure that itself led to the Brexit vote. The terribly insincere Austerity policies of Germany that wanted to create surpluses for herself and deficit for every other nation — led to the massive unemployment that it turn made people seek food and shelter elsewhere.

And sadly here is where the UK has made the problem somewhat worse by cutting back on basic public services, at the same time as it absorbed the enormous intake of economic refugees from the EU’s Euro catastrophe. I can’t count the number of young Spanish, French, Italian and Greek workers I’ve met in London, who are here, because there are no jobs in Euroland. In that sense, the UK has given Brussels a safety valve for its own policies that have led to 50% youth unemployment, but now they will have to go back and change their countries from within and for the better. And having been exposed to the peculiarly English sense of Freedom they will hopefully infect their moribund societies with the virtues of LIBERTY and DEMOCRACY once again.

I am certain that these young people will be the Freedom Fighters of Europe. The partisans of tomorrow and the fighters for the Liberation of their countries against the German yoke.

This mass unemployment is an inevitable consequence of the Euro, as Wynne Godley foresaw in 1992, in one of the most prophetic articles ever written: “If a country or region has no power to devalue, and if it is not the beneficiary of a system of fiscal equalisation, then there is nothing to stop it suffering a process of cumulative and terminal decline leading, in the end, to emigration as the only alternative to poverty or starvation.” –Wynne Godley, “Maastricht and All That”, London Review of Books, October 1992.

Other main changes I expect from Brexit are a long overdue material shift in the power balance away from London, it’s technocrats, and its elites, and back to the once working class regions of the United Kingdom. These people who have been the victims of a globalisation that, when it was first championed by Margaret Thatcher and then by Folly Blair, was supposed to have either no victims at all, or “losers” who could be easily compensated by the “winners”.

However, as even the IMF fully admitted, globalisation under the banner of Neoliberalism was certainly not a victimless crime, and compensations to losers have remained theoretical constructs rather than actual policy. The losers have now struck back politically. Their blow may have been messy — by mixing independence, jingoism, and xenophobia, with a justified frustration of an economic system that humiliates whole People, and a political system that ignores the Citizen Voters. Yet the most important take away is that political leaders need to understand the root causes behind that terrible bodyblow the Citizens armed with the powerful mallet of the Vote — have delivered to the Establishment, rather than simply denigrating its wielders as jingoists, reactionaries, and racists.

I say this because the English speaking people standing at the edge of the “Core EU Team” as outsiders are more likely to see the wholeness of the situation and the many beneficial solutions of the BREXIT today> That is why we voted for it. The People are wise and that is what Democracy is built upon.

Capice?

We voted for BREXIT because we are able to see where we truly are and also see how we can both win, out of a difficult situation. Those differences that might seem superficially opposite, are actually in a complementary lined-up relationship within some larger processes taking place in our amazing world. Processes that are pregnant with promise and opportunity…

But to get there, we all have to forsake this broken Union together and start fresh all over again.

Yours,
Dr Churchill

PS:
When people are afraid, defensive, or threatened — they have no tolerance for the People at the edges of the core. This is what happens in Europe today with all the nations that are tied up to the German leadership. And that is why they are jealous of the Freedom of the English people that they are afraid to demand for themselves, fearing the uncertainty of Liberty away from the safety of the German jackboot pushing down their throat.

And the German jackbooted thugs know this quite well and deprive these nations of their rightful leaders by installing puppets and Quislings, and thus fully control the Peoples of Europe. And as they are aware that this is an undeclared and fighting war brewing on — instead of giving any measure of Liberty to the People, they demand more purity, more ideological uniformity, more cohesiveness, and more rigid loyalty with lock-step unity.

Welcome back to “1984” in the German ruled Europe of 2016 where the triumvarite junta of Dr Scauble, Frau Merkel, and Juncker (the bomber), after hearing the Victory of England in the BREXIT vote, they are hastily tightening the bonds and buttoning down the hatches of the Panzer Tanks where the Europeans are chained.

Tall order that all three heads of the Unelected European Junta came out today pressuring the Prime Minister of the UK David Cameron and claiming that what Europe now needs is more cohesion, more Austerity, and stronger Political Integration. More bondage. More Misery. More Austerity. More death camps for the weak, the invalids, the different ones, and the ones who don’t toe the german line.

How is that message resonating with those weak souls, and the fearful ones who want to define and reshape EUrope from within, and who are voting for the weird Republic of REMAINIA? If they thought that things can’t get any worse — they should go to Greece to see the people eating dinner out of the garbage cans.

And yet in the absurd world of Brussels, and in a surreal move reminiscent of the last Fuhrer, the EURO-Junta now demands that all the people of Europe must become more like German slaves than ever before. They should all huddle together under the German tent, and they should start behaving more like little toy Nazi soldiers, sleepwalking blindly toward a common grave.

It is cruelly sad but methinks that the total annihilation of Europe cannot be far behind…

And from seeing behind the facade of the pompous Brussels and Berlin pronouncements coming from the triumvarite European junta of Juncker, Merkel, and Schauble, as they dictate stronger bonds of political integration for all remaining members of the EU and they unleash economic warfare against Britain while rushing to lock-up the Exit doors for the remaining European nations in order to keep them within the fold of this fast burning theatre of the Absurd — I cannot but wonder: Where has Sanity gone?

Where has the famous German Common Sense gone?
Methinks that they clearly didn’t get the Message from the tsunami named BREXIT. They are swamped but they don’t know it. Or they refuse to know it. They think it is more profitable to rearrange the deck chairs on the Titanic now that the Iceberg named Great Britain has ripped them a new one, than to take to the lifeboats.

What to do? German captains are famous for going down with the ship following faulty ideological maxims since time immemorial. They like to commit mass suicide and they don’t mind taking the rest of us along for the ride to the sweet hereafter.

Except that we didn’t sign up for that trip… when we envisioned a United and Democratic Europe seventy years ago, in the words of my unimitable Grandfather Winston Churchill, who said that a New Europe must be born from the ashes of the last World War that was once again started by the German Nazis.

But aside form the cheap thrills, this is the beginning of the end of German Europe and you better believe it.

Or maybe they can’t read the writing on the wall… that BREXIT wrought. So please, allow me to translate: The campaign to LEAVE the EU concentration camp of Austerity is the expression of a Freedom loving People reclaiming LIBERTY for themselves and also sending a message to the wider world that whatever may come, we are ready to fight for our Ancient and God given RIGHTS to be FREE and to ELECT our own LEADERS, because we seek leaders that can transform our DESTINY into the DREAMS of our Fallen Fathers, and not petty bureaucrats that negotiate the price of rope to hang ourselves.

And we trust that our European friends and the oppressed people of the Continent — will surely get this message too, because history has a way of clearing up the cobwebs of the retarded minds rather forcefully. Even the real Nazis met their own maker soon enough, but it was the Brits who cleaned their clocks first. Today’s trio of jockers are in line to have their clocks cleaned sooner rather than later. But before we have to live through another big bloodletting fest that war invariably is, we best behave as students of history and not some kind of Master Race of infallible idiots.

Because now more than ever, we need the English People who have the courage to live on the edges of the “Core team of the EU” because they love the European Peoples as partners in Peace — so much, that they are not hesitant to critique them as a friend, and as the Socratic Gadfly, to question the central unelected and therefore unaccountable European Authority. And that is why the English, dauntlessly insist to the rest of the EUropeans, that they too can live up to their truest selves.
Because the True Self of any People is FREEDOM. Free WIll and Liberty is the very Soul of Europe and that’s what this FIGHT is all about. It’s about our birthright of Liberty and Democracy…

YES, IT TAKES COURAGE TO GET THERE.

But Liberty is our birthright and it is the very agreement this nation was built upon. After all a Nation is an agreement between those who have died, those who are alive, and those yet to be born. And the Liberty we were given by our Forefathers we shall dutifully pass on to our children and those children yet to be born… living up to our side of the bargain happily.

Now let’s not hear it from me, but from Pericles speaking at the burial of the Athenian dead, during the first year of the Peloponnesian war, a couple of Millennia ago, during another time of trials and tribulations for Democracy.

Pericles wisdom is succinct and to the point, just as relevant today as it was Two Thousand years ago:
“THE SECRET OF HAPPINESS IS FREEDOM, AND THE SECRET OF FREEDOM IS A BRAVE HEART”

And that is the message of BREXIT to the bondaged and enslaved Europeans:

Be Brave — Revolt — Demand your Liberty

“We got our Freedom — now go get yours”

Cheers.

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Posted by: Dr Pano Churchill | June 27, 2016

Market Panic Moves Central Banks … hopefully … Towards Inaction

BREXIT is good.

BREXIT is great.

BREXIT is scary for little investors.

Yet BREXIT is the unique opportunity for those Investors who know what they are doing — to make a shitload of money.

Just watch…

Today as global markets reel for a second day after the establishment-rattling vote by Britain to sever ties with Europe, investors are again expecting central banks to ride to the rescue.

And that may be the problem.

Or so believe a number of investors and economists who worry that another round of central bank intervention in the markets will compound the sense of alienation, frustration and anger at global elites that encouraged a majority of Britons to opt for leaving the European Union.

Traditionally, market participants have tended to cheer central bank activism.

In times of financial panic, wholesale bond buying, negative interest rates and disbursing cash directly to consumers (the yet-to-be-deployed weapon in the central banker’s armory) have been seen as easy policy substitutes for governments unwilling or incapable of taking action themselves.

But, as the world’s leading central bankers finished a weekend of brainstorming in Basel, Switzerland, as to what their next move might be, some feared that this time around they might do more harm than good.

Silly people say that central bankers have not done enough, but they have done too much already…

Global central bankers had already planned to convene at the annual meeting of the Bank for International Settlements, a clearinghouse and research shop that provides a private forum for central bankers to gather and exchange views.

Because the British referendum BREXIT win and the sharply unexpected vote results along with the sharp fall in the markets that followed, has brought an extra urgency to the two-day meeting of Central Bankers, we see fear in the wings..

The head of Mexico’s central bank and chairman of the bank’s policy group that monitors the global financial system, said that committee members had “endorsed the contingency measures put in place by the Bank of England and emphasized the preparedness of central banks to support the proper functioning of financial markets.”

Adding to global political tensions were parliamentary elections on Sunday in Spain, where the anti-austerity left-wing party Podemos as expected, continued its recent run of electoral success and became the king maker after this election.

And while the sell-off in stocks on Friday was very sharp, market participants said over the weekend that they were heartened that major market makers were able to absorb the selling fairly well. Monday morning was not a major blood bath but just a kiddie pool full of blood…

Playing a central role were exchange-traded funds, which at one point on Friday accounted for close to 50 percent of overall trading volume in stocks, also played a pivotal role this Monday. And that is an extraordinary statistic, given that the funds were largely unknown a decade ago as an investment option for investors.

The ability for investors to quickly and successfully buy and sell stocks and bonds, the crucial advantage that exchange-traded funds have over mutual funds, is seen by central bankers and financial regulators as critical, in times of acute financial stress.

Part of the conundrum for central bankers is that the recent sell-off is not the result of an event like Lehman Brothers going bankrupt in September 2008, which provided authorities with an unassailable excuse to intervene. Lehman’s failure caused markets to seize up and financial institutions to stop dealing with each other.

But when the crises that rock global finance are social and political, it becomes more awkward for central bankers to defend any form of extraordinary intervention.

And that is what worries analysts, who for some time now have been concerned that interventions by central banks were distorting markets by making them less liquid and creating anomalies such as what currently exists in Japan.

There, the nation’s central bank owns 34 percent of the country’s government bonds and is one of the top 10 shareholders in 90 percent of the companies listed on the stock exchange, according to data from Bloomberg.

Central banks have done everything to jury-rig markets. And they still get their jollies out of interfering like crazy… So what makes us think they won’t want to do more now is the key question.

And if they choose to do more of their freak thing — then it’s up to us to determine which way they will tilt the table and which way they will skew the game?

And the thing is that the Central Bankers are wankers par excellence and they  themselves don’t know which way the game will tilt, and if they will succumb to the laws of unintended consequences… that always get triggered from their “innocent” intervention.

The notion that the extraordinary central bank interventions of recent years were designed to stamp out deflationary threats and spark an increase in prices and economic activity in stagnant economies in Europe and Japan, is complete nonsense.

Because for one, we have plenty of inflation, it’s just asset price inflation and you can see that based on the elevated equity, bond and housing markets that have been one major consequence of these policies.

People can’t afford to live in cities anymore, and they are grumpy about their jobs.

Asset bubbles are everywhere you look.

And they are all hissing and popping threatening to blow up the whole lot. And when they blow they will make the Fourth of July explosions day look like a joke — in comparison.

In Great Britain, this dynamic has been particularly acute. Thanks to aggressive central bank policies, house prices in London are among the most expensive in the world, yet the inflation-adjusted weekly average wage of 470 pounds, or about $632, is still £20 lower than it was before the financial crisis, according to the economic results of all major British research organizations and of the Bank of England

Interestingly, one of the most vocal critics of central bank overreach has been the Bank for International Settlements itself.

For years now, senior economists at its research arm, have been arguing via speeches and papers that artificially low interest rates have created pernicious asset bubbles in equity and housing markets in the developed world and debt frenzies in emerging markets like China and Brazil.

These views were highlighted again on Sunday in Basel with the presentation of the bank’s annual report.

In a speech, the bank’s managing director, said that extremely low interest rates were a threat to global financial stability as they “depress risk premia and stretch asset valuations.”

The result, the bank’s managing director contended, was the threat of a “loss of confidence in policy making” and “unrealistic expectations about growth and the ability of present policies to lift global growth.”

While couched in platitudes, the bank’s managing director message was clear enough. Persistent central bank interventions have not only created dangerous distortions, they have added to a sense of worldwide cynicism that these measures have not accomplished their central aims: lifting economic growth and increasing wages.

It is worth noting that the bank’s managing director is familiar with asset bubbles: He was the head of Spain’s central bank a decade ago when reckless lending among the country’s financial institutions resulted in a boom and eventual bust of Spanish property prices.

But central bankers today will have a harder time justifying an intervention when the markets are going haywire because of a Democratic election upsetting result somewhere around the Globe. Even though this happened in the country that has at it’s capital the world’s biggest financial center — the City’s square mile…

And I surely hope they don’t act now and stay calm unlike the drama adled lemmings out there… Of course, bashing central bankers is always a popular and easy pastime for politicians, economists and investors alike, and I don’t plant to indulge in that exercise but only in a cautionary tale for the wise ones, because it is also true that central bankers in Britain, Europe, Japan and the United States have consistently said that their actions have been forced by the unwillingness of politicians and governments to act themselves.

And in that they have a good point.

So let’s talk and sort this out without interference to the Markets, so that we allow Capitalism to take it’s course.

Cheers.

Yours,

Dr Churchill

PS:

The thing is that monetary policy cannot go it alone.

People have been left behind, which is creating anti-establishment sentiment in just about every democracy in the world. You would think that at some point governments would get the message.

And we speak for those of Investors who are really making a killing in this Market riding roughshod over the herd of the fearful lemmings getting killed on the Street. You see the problem with the lemmings is that they don’t now how to stay put…

The moment these lemmings peek out from their hole, and start running to make their stock market moves because of the News — they get picked off by the sharp shooters. One after another and sometimes en masse. That’s why we have News. To scare the living daylights out of the scardy cats and get them to expose themselves.

And off they go…

Another reason to celebrate this culling of the pack of stupid, is that they are wasting precious resources of the market, and take up too much space. All those small minded nincompoops that didn’t get the memo that the only Investors to win the game are the long term value Investors — are now duly creamed. Sadly as always, they make moves in desperation and are liquidated on margins and on calls.

In a Darwinian way the playing field is gleaned off the corpses of the ants…

I know this sounds very much like Ayn Rand and I don’t like it, but in a way it’s just deserts, because the thinning of the herd of Tourists, allows the more seasoned people to do what’s right.

And that is to bring back Common Sense to the Wall Street and the City, after all the Drama and Sentiment has been duly discounted, and to send a clear message to the governments to not interfere because in a Democratic Capitalist Society — Markets Go Up and Markets Go Down and there is no REASON to interfere with this movement, unless You want to bust up the Treasury and send everyone to the poorhouse to eat a bowl of “nothing” along with the deadbeats.

Last time I checked that was Socialism… and we have the BREXIT to teach us this lesson all over again.

Isn’t BREXIT great?

Enjoy the game….

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